Oh, come on - get the hell off my day!

I was gonna wait til the last minute to post. Bah!

I was posting this either way.

Chop?
Just send me $500 and we'll call it even!! :p

The entry period is now over. I'll be updating the first post in this thread with all the eligible guesses shortly.

Here is the list of guesses. Please check to make sure I have your guess recorded properly, as this is going to be the official list. If I screwed up your guess (adding 12 to all those PMs gets tough!) or if I left you off the list entirely and you think you are eligible to be on it, speak up ASAP. Because as soon as we cross jimmym off the list (when his time passes), this will be the official list, even if I made a typo somewhere.

Shit! I totally missed that part in the first post. Well I guess 2/2/07 @ 2:22 PM EST if you want to accept it 15 minutes late. If not, no big deal. SHIT! I was procratinating, planning on giving it some thought tommorrow and then tommorrow, etc, etc. and then I see your entry period closed and go HUH?:confused: :rolleyes: :o

Sorry man... If I make one exception, blah blah blah... you know how it is. Your guess would have been way off anyway, FWIW.

drewjax=12/22 14:22

no problem. My fault for not reading and waiting too long.

TP = idiot.

I forgot to add yours to the list I was working on, even though we were talking about it. :o

Fixed.

Just for fun... Some of you may remember that we had last year. 14 pages of nonsense later and you'll find a link that takes you here:


It was a contest to see who would post our 50,000th post. There were a lot of fine pront rules and it's a good thing because of the freeroll that was going on around that time (lots of crap on the board), but the eventual winner was Robbie Robb for making this post right here:


Now, you will notice that he made said post on 12/20/05... approximately 345 days ago. If I press submit right now, this will be Post #97890 (actual post number), meaning we've had 47878 posts in the past 345 days. Do the math and that averages out to 139 posts per day.

Now, you need to remember that that includes some CRAZY times, like , some crazy railbird threads (like my thread from this summer), and even the ever so popular, "" thread. That said, it also includes some weekends where this place was completely dead, like this past holiday weekend, for example. So the 139 is better than nothing.

Right now, the main page of the forum says we have 97,210 posts, 2790 shy of paydirt. At 139 posts per day, that means we're 20 days away from 100,000 - bringing us to right around 12/20.

How crazy woud it be if the 100,000th post came exactly one year to the day after the 50,000th??? Ironically, if this happens and depending on the exact time the post was made, ChipFish (aka Mr. Exactly one post made in November prior to the contest) would be the winner.

Anything can happen, of course, but I'd be very surprised if the 100,000th didn't fall within a week of 12/20, either way.

After a long period of statistical analysis, too long since I waited till after the deadline, I say we are going to hit it 14 days 18 hours from now...but accounting for weekends (less posting I believe) but adjusting for the TOC and all the posts that will generate (this cancels weekend down times out)...we will hit it at Dec 16th 6:40 pm.

What is with you people?

Aeq's unofficial guess, via PM:
December 20, 2006 at 8:45 pm.

Interesting, given the little analysis post I just made.

Damn that Freeroll!!
 

All these new posters are wreaking havoc with our post-count calculations. :mad:

OK, here's the deal... We are now 13 hours past the entry deadline, so I'm definitely not going to make any more exceptions, so don't bother posting any more guesses. Seriously.

But..... I did add BB, Aeq, and fungus' guesses to the list (and robthedlphin's too - he posted in time, but has 0 rep). It wouldn't be fair to the people who entered in time if I gave these guys the prize for winning, so their guesses are unofficial. In other words, if one of these guys wins, he doesn't win - The next closest guess still wins.

BUT..... I will give these guys a little somethin somethin if they would have won... I'm not sure what yet - but I'm thinking maybe 1/2 of the Base Prize Amount they would have won, or some TP loot or whatever. I'll figure it out if I need to. These guys are NOT eligible for the Big Money Bonus though...

Hopefully everyone will be happy with this. :)

Here is the new and improved Official Guess List, copied from the first post in this thread:

its be the 20th of decemeber at 17:52 by my calculations, but i cant guess so i just wanted it known!

I PM'd first. Aeq owns. :D :thumbsup:

not sure if i made a post in november so for what it's worth i guess dec. 14th(my birthday) at 6:30 am

1. You didn't post even once in November.
2. You are a day past the deadline for the contest.

Shoot, If I win just give me some green rep so I'll be official in the next one and I'll be happy. :)

Welcome back:cool:

Any way to have a subset of the "need a backer" section called "need a +rep backer"? TP?

I'm personally 2 points off of a 2nd green bar :(

Edit: Just noticed I got it :D

2013 (after this one) posts to go. At the current (recent) pace, it looks like most people's guesses are gonna be too early.

I guess it's time to create several different accounts to spam the boards.

Ahem:

Does NOT posting count as cheating???? :D:thumbsup:

:?)
 

I think so :) I m counting with your posts :D

Wer'e at exactly 98,500 and counting now. 1500 to go.

I've been updating the entry list in the first post from time to time, but it's looking more and more like our winner will be coming from this group, if I had to guess:

12/25 19:01 - Reel Deal
12/27 19:00 - Windbreaker
12/29 16:38 - omahilo
12/30 19:12 - nflchad
12/31 08:00 - HEwong
01/01 00:00 - kkirk1329

C'mon, people, stop sandbagging and start posting!

There. 98,530.

That's It!!!!
 

I'm calling Rook!

Do not call Rook!

Whatever you do, DO NOT CALL ROOK!

awww man, it'd be funny

915 posts to go.

The potential winners are dropping like flies!

So, the forum hit a milestone tonight. We hit our 100,000th ACTUAL post. This includes all the spam and duplicate posts that have been deleted over the years...

So, who was the "special" 100,000th poster? You'll just have to click this link to find out:


The subject of said post is sooooooooooooooo perfect.

BTW, this post right here is #100,010, and the number on the forum home page is 99,305. That means we've had 705 deleted posts over the years... but more importantly, we are 695 from declaring a winner for this contest.

I'm starting to like my guess more and more. :cheers:

me 2, how many of us sad people will actually not be too drunk to post anything on Xmas eve:rolleyes:

I'm trapped at home after a blizzard, guess I might as well start drinking. :cheers:

We're going to need a LOT of posting here in the next few hours if this is going to end up being right:

You guys suck.

Where can we view the bolded amount? Does Shabi win something for being the "special" 100,000th poster?

Shabi dont win shit!

I think he should win a little something, if not the big prize. :twocents:

344 posts to go. Reel Deal and Windbreaker each have effictively 48 hours covered, thanks to no one guessing the day before or after their guesses. That's pretty nice.



It really depends how much this place dies down on Christmas (and weekends are usually slow too), but if I had to guess right now, I'd say Windbreaker is looking pretty good.

Nope, that wasn't part of the contest. To answer your question though, every time you make a post, you get immediately redirected to a page like this one (from the last post that I just made):


There's the 100,365. I can also see that your post was #100,287, since when I hit reply, I am now looking at this page:


If you copy and paste this URL, you can change the number at the end to see any specific post:


I had to do a lot of that sort of thing in .

Oddly enough, I chose a random number to check out #22, this is where it sent me:

Is your door locked, TP? :rolleyes: ;)

Huh, I would have thought the weekends would have a bit more activity than week days. Anyway, it looks like it will be close... I think 100,000 may come some time on the 26th, hopefully early on that day!

Yeah, weekends are always slower than weekdays.

If something bigish were to happen between now and then (someone going deep in a Sunday tourney railbird thread, or maybe a forum tourney or contest or something), I'd think you have a shot... but with the holiday right in the middle there, I think things are going to slow down.

Actually, I'm playing (in theory) in the Aussie freeroll on Full Tilt today, so me getting deep in that is probably your best chance. :thumbsup:

Sounds like tp you should do a little free roll today . May help your cause;) Good luck in the aussie Mil

How would that help my cause? I don't care who wins... :thumbsup:

You're going deep baby, DEEP!!

?
 

How many till 100.000? Im just finishing Christmas tree and I wonder how are you poker players?