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-   -   BlackJack @ PartyPoker (http://www.talkingpoker.com/forum/showthread.php?t=5435)

rookette22 02-01-06 11:10 AM

BlackJack @ PartyPoker
 
IT'S FIXED ...I TELL YA! :mad:

CHEATERS!!!!

Talking Poker 02-01-06 12:22 PM

Please tell me you aren't playing Black Jack.

rookette22 02-01-06 12:33 PM

Ok ....I won't tell you I am.










*I was a little while ago...but not anymore; never ever again. Lost $10.
:(

PShabi 02-01-06 01:45 PM

I consider myself to have a great amount of self-discipline. I'm well-educated and understand EV. I know that blackjack is -EV, yet even I have played fucking party blackjack.

I just threw up in my mouth.

rookette22 02-01-06 01:47 PM

eww...yuck! *place disgusted smiley here*

eejit101 02-01-06 01:52 PM

LOL, thats.......nice. I play BJ at paradise and at party a little bit. Its a good break for a few minutes. However when i am playing at an online casino i do play BJ alot. Its simple, but the complexities behind it are very hard to figure out. Most people will hit 15 for example against a dealer T/J/Q/K/A. but i will stand. there is a 50/50 (nearly) shot that the dealer wont make 17. Its a fun game, and i seem to win alot at it. Playing at paradise earlier, had $56 left in my account, just cashed out $200 from a very strategic double. and left in the $56 again.

Its a good game, but you need to know it.

rookette22 02-01-06 01:56 PM

Sweet......:)

PShabi 02-01-06 02:15 PM

Even if you "know it," you're still GUARANTEED to be a loser in the long term.

eejit101 02-01-06 02:18 PM

Have to disagree, with the surrender button the casino is giving a lot fo advantage back to the player. The way that you "push" if its a tie aswell helps the player. If i add it together with the way i play the game, basically standing on anything over 14, and occasionally twelve if i feel its right, i reckon by my stats on here i am 50/50 on average.

What advantage is the house getting (apart from card fixing if possibe). We push on a split, we can surrender half our bet if were fucked, they are giving the player every possible advantage, if they know how to play the game it can be beaten, or at least broke even on on the long run)

rookette22 02-01-06 02:25 PM

Well the way I see it is like this...with online BlackJack; seems that it's fixed for the dealer to win. With casino in real life BlackJack....it's the ppl playing at the same table as you that make or break you. I've even seen fights break, (the very few times I've been at the casino); for someone thinking they made a bad call on a hand.

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 02:45 PM

This thread makes my brain bleed.

Its math people. Eejit, you are wrong.

eejit101 02-01-06 03:00 PM

You just said its math. Then saying i am wrong? No offense but all i explained about was the math of it! The dges the house normally has are lost by pushes and surrenders e.t.c.

I tell you what, if i am wrong then tell me why i dont lose evry much? I play it alot and win alot. And over the course of my life i am not down of this game? And i havent played like 100 hands. i mean well over 10,000.

2Tone 02-01-06 03:07 PM

I don't play blackjack online
 
Though I'll occasionally sit at a table if I'm in Vegas on a gambling binge.

I've done some reading, and my understanding, though I could be wrong, is …

- Even if played absolutely perfectly under the best conditions, the house retains a (very) small edge. The exception to this is if you can successfully maintain a card count, which is difficult to do and easy to detect.

- That the other players at the table can't/don't influence your results, though many people seem to (mistakenly and/or superstitiously) think otherwise. If you think about it, this makes sense. There are a set number of face cards in the desk, and they are in a random order after a shuffle – by hitting or staying in front of you, it's not like another player can somehow change that.

Finally, there was a great LA Times article awhile back about the Party founder/owner, who has allegedly has a history of rigging blackjack (, article no longer available). I wouldn't play online at all, and especially not at Party.

nflchad 02-01-06 03:09 PM

Variance in BJ is exponentially greater than in poker, 10k hands is nothing, roughly the equivalent of 1k hands of poker (in other words the stat is almost entirely invalid). If you think that you can play with an edge then why would any casino allow you to play? If you could play with an edge without card counting then everyone would play proffesional blackjack, the fact that this isn't true should prove beyond a reasonable doubt that your wrong.

eejit101 02-01-06 03:14 PM

i didnt say i played with an edge, if i did i am very sorry, as this is not true. What i am saying is that with the advantages the house gives you, as well as personaly skill in the game, well not skill, but learning a system, you can win. I reckon im a 51% dog to the 49% advantage against the house. But this is only 1%, and a player can get lucky.

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 03:34 PM

Let me guess, you use the martingale system? :rolleyes:

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 03:37 PM



read up.

eejit101 02-01-06 03:41 PM

no, i made my own, works quite well. I looked at a few, took some from each, and made my own. Works for me is all im gonna say.

Boobie Lover 02-01-06 04:09 PM

You should just play blackjack full time now that you have found the secret to beating the game.

eejit101 02-01-06 04:18 PM

I didnt say i can beat the game, i said i am not losing to the game. Not losing and beating the game are 2 different things. My system works for me, it isnt infallible, it doesnt work all the time, and i play quite a bit. Nothing special comes from it, if i wini win, if i lose i lose. Simple really.

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 04:20 PM

As long as you are happy playing a negative expectation game and have no problem inevitably losing all your money if you keep playing, cool.

eejit101 02-01-06 04:21 PM

i am happy playing a =EV IMO game, and in the end not losing all my money yeah.

Boobie Lover 02-01-06 04:29 PM

Even if you play the game perfectly (which your strategy is not), unless you count cards, it is a -EV game. You WILL lose money.

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 04:29 PM

Man people like you are why casinos will never go out of business.

Nothing personal, please dont read into it like that, but I'm just sayin...

eejit101 02-01-06 04:34 PM

not a problem, i understand your looking out for my bankroll. BUt i assure you, ive played BJ for over a year, and have figured out a good system which works for me. I also dont play large stakes. I also dont risk hardly nay of my bankroll, so if i win its all good, if i lose it doesnt matter much. I can win it back in 1 good hand of 2/4 NL

Reel Deal 02-01-06 05:32 PM

LMAO!

X-Longshot-X 02-01-06 05:43 PM

Bottom line. Why would the casino (or in this case the pokerroom) offer it if they were not getting some sort of advantage on it....

PShabi 02-01-06 06:21 PM

My god, my head hurts.

I'm just going to "ditto" every post made to Ejit in this thread.

But Ejit,

"Not losing" implies "winning money" which is, by definition, "beating the game."

Robbr25 02-01-06 06:24 PM

I received $50 from intertops.com to use in their casino.
I turned it into $120 playing blackjack then transfered it to my pokerstars account.
Where I promptly lost it :)
But as a general rule, I avoid the casino online.
(can't say the same about Vegas and AC though)

Dodoubled 02-01-06 06:25 PM

I've played Party BlackJack, too. Not much, but just enough to get a feel for it. And enough to drop about 20 bucks.

Anyhow, some thoughts.
1.) It is possible to get +EV in blackjack, but there are a ton of factors that go into it. Playing perfect basic strategy is only the beginning. Deck size, the true count (the proportion of 10-cards and aces to the number of 2s through 6s, divided by the number of decks in the shoe) all factor into it. Even the best players (read, "counters") are only looking for an advantage of +1 percent or so -- and even that might be generous.
2.) That said, the biggest advantage an online blackjack game has over you is the inability for you to count anything whatsoever because we don't know the randomness with which the cards are shuffled. Does the computer use a single deck, a four-deck shoe, a six-deck shoe or an eight-deck shoe? Or, does the computer shuffle every single time, nullifying any semblance of a true count? My bet is on the latter.
Remember, this isn't like poker, where a single deck is shuffled before each hand. A player's advantage in blackjack banks on what has been played, and more importantly, what hasn't.

PShabi 02-01-06 06:47 PM

You've played party blackjack and don't even know how many decks they use? The house edge has to be pretty great there.

Anyway, Party has an 8 deck shoe that is reshuffled EVERY HAND. You cannot count. There is no way to make Party Poker blackjack even close to breakeven.

Dodoubled 02-01-06 07:17 PM

Thanks, Pshabi.
I figured it had to be around an eight-deck shoe, but I never saw any written documentation about it. Then again, I never actually sought any written documentation on it, so I'll trust you.
As for the reshuffling bit, you're right ... that's why it's impossible to get any real advantage over the computer dealer. That's why online poker is so vastly, vastly superior.

MAYHEM45 02-01-06 08:21 PM

All this being said, there is actually a way to beat online blackjack. :eek:

It's called casino whoring, and its one of the ways I helped build my under 100$ bankroll. Basically it puts an edge in the players hands using a bonus to eat up the -EV.

PShabi 02-01-06 08:28 PM

Yep. Quite popular and quite profitable.

Hawt 02-01-06 08:49 PM

I have been contemplating doing this since Mayhem showed it to me. Perhaps I will hold off in depositing into Bodog to get the PokerTracker bonus and try this out to build up a bit. I can't really afford to lose my deposit though.

Talking Poker 02-01-06 09:26 PM

Thank you.

As for the others who think there is such a thing as a beatable casino game (without cheating), I'm sorry, but I'm laughing at you.

Not only that, but I would be glad to deal BJ to you all day long, every day.

Windbreaker 02-02-06 11:32 AM

Online BJ with bonuses is +EV, if you get the right game, learn the basic strategy, and quit after clearing the bonuses. Having said that....probably half the people here wouldn't have the discipline to do all three...lol

MathBabe 02-02-06 02:20 PM

I can't help it...
 
I know I'm only adding my voice to a bunch of others, and it won't convince anybody that isn't already convinced.

But the ONLY casino game where the house doesn't have an edge is poker. With poker the rake is how the house makes money, and you can see it coming out of the hand and how much they make. With ALL OTHER GAMES, including Blackjack, the house wins more money than the players do, and that is how they make their money.

You may do better than the other players at your table consistently, but DO NOT make the mistake of thinking you are beating the house. YOU ARE NOT.

MathBabe

Talking Poker 02-02-06 02:30 PM

And this is precisely why I don't consider poker to be a "casino game," wven though it can be played in a casino. With poker, the house is basically charging you for the right to play there... but you are not competing with the house (like in all the "casino games") - your competition is in fact the other players. If you are better than them, you can win (in the long run). But it's impossible to be better than the house in any casino game, obviously (at least it should be obvious).

Boobie Lover 02-02-06 03:19 PM

Actually, there are some video poker machines that are slightly beatable, but most people play them so poorly that the casinos still have them.

MathBabe 02-02-06 03:24 PM

Yes, you're absolutely right, I shouldn't have referred to it that way.

Poker is more like a game where the casino rents out the table and the use of the dealer, cards, and chips. Like you say, it's under their roof, but not one of their games.

So what's this thread doing under General POKER Discussion, anyway?

rookette22 02-02-06 03:42 PM

My bad. I started this thread in here... :o

But...PartyPoker is a POKER site isn't it? :rolleyes:
Hence the Poker related thread. ;)

JDMcNugent7 02-02-06 03:44 PM

I'm sure the casino still makes a killing off poker - its not like they are breaking even like ur kind of suggesting. If theres a rake at all - we are all being set up to lose - its just that poker is alot easier to find and maximize ur edges in(if ur good), than a game like blackjack is. It's still def. one of "their games".

Talking Poker 02-02-06 04:06 PM

Well, of course they are making money off of pokwer - no one suggested they weren't. They are taking money from every single pot (or an hourly rate at the higher limits), and they can not lose any more, ever. So yeah, of course they are making money.

But that's looking at it from the casino side, and unless any of us plan on opening a casino sometime soon, that doesn't really matter to us. We should be looking at these games from the player side. Any game where you are playing against the house is -EV. Period. Only if you are playing against other players and NOT the house (like poker) can you possibly find yourself in a +EV situation.

Zybomb 02-02-06 04:07 PM

Im gunna have to disagree
 
I 100% disagree with this. The other players CAN and DO effect your performance at the blackjack table. Before I sit down in a casino BJ table, I will always observe for 5 minutes and look at the players...

6 players at the table

10 9
8 7
J K
8 Q
4 8
5 9

Dealer shows a 6

players 1-4 stay. Player five takes a hit and receives a K thus busting
Player 6 shakes his head and stays as well

The dealer flips over J 6 for sixteen, then hits with a 4 beating the entire table except for player 3 which is a push

Player 5 took the dealers bust card by hitting at a time when they shouldn't have, thus effected MY MONEY

It can work the other way around, when a player does NOT hit when they are supposed to

SirFWALGMan 02-02-06 04:17 PM

Hmm..
 
So if you lose 1% over time and you have fun is it really -EV? heh. I do NOT play BJ online but I find it fun to sit down and play some hands at a casino. I know I am going to lose but so what. It's just money. It is a fun game. It can be exciting when your on a roll. I say Fun = +EV.

SirFWALGMan 02-02-06 04:20 PM

hmmm..
 
But then is it a good move when the card is a 4, and the next card is the ten? I suppose if everyone at the table took a hit it might effect the outcome somewhat by removing more good-bad cards from the deck, but the probability that the guy taking a card is going to effect the hand one way or the other seem to be just superstitious. Like the old guy blackjack dealers always winning, and the young kid ones being beatable.

Zybomb 02-02-06 04:25 PM

Sure in the 1 time if the card was a 4 and the next a ten, it would of worked out correctly.... but in the long run, it's more likely you are going to take a bust card from him, than take a non bust card from him, thus it makes the hit -EV for the ENTIRE table.... this idiot just cost everyone their bet.....

rookette22 02-02-06 04:28 PM


ZYYYYYYY?


I can't believe it zy........







You ..............










actually...........agreed...........with me???

That's a first! :o

I've actually seen it happen way too many times, that's why I mentioned it. And you gave the 'purrfect' example zy. Me0owww....:p

Talking Poker 02-02-06 04:31 PM

Dude. You're a smart guy. Please tell me you didn't just post this.

Yes, in the short run, players can make "bad plays" that negatively affect YOU, but that are EQUALLY likely to make the same exact bad play and SAVE you. I know you know this.

In other words, using your example, say Player 5 hits and gets a 5. Player 6 stays. Now the dealer flips over J6 and instead of making 21 like they would have, they pull a King and bust and everyone wins. That "bad play" just made everyone at the table money, but no one ever thanks that guy for it - they only get mad when he hurts them.

Not only that, but the entie deck is now throw off one card (the extra card that he took), so the entire next hand is completely different than it would have been, so thinking about "bad player" making "bad plays" in the long term is completely pointless - because everything would be different.

The point is, the cards are shuffled, and the odds of the next card being whatever (a good or bad card for the dealer, for example) are exactly the same.

If you want to play the "would have" game, that's fine - but you have to do it for both the times when the bad play costs you money AND the times when it makes you money. And those will of course even out, so it's pointless to even consider them.

The cards in a Black Jack shoe are randomly distributed. Playing with good or bad players do not affect your win rate. And by "win rate," I of course mean "lose rate," since you will lose in the long run. Period.


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