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-   -   My biggest, and maybe last bet ever (http://www.talkingpoker.com/forum/showthread.php?t=8476)

Penguinfan 09-30-06 09:21 AM

My biggest, and maybe last bet ever
 
All the games that qualify for play today are:

Mizzou -16

Kent State -1.5

Purdue +14


However I will be on one game and one game only, that being the Mizzou game. I have put my entire on-line bankroll on this game and I don't feel bad about it for a second. I think I got like $50 left on Full Tilt, but that's it.

This is not my entire bankroll as most of it was not kept on-line, but I will not re-deposit, this is it for me.

After bad beat, after bad beat, after bad play after bad play I realize I am just not cut out for poker, I can accept that. Last night's loss on the Rutgers game was the last straw.

Everything that had to go wrong in the last 2:30 of that game did, and it went perfectly wrong.

Blocked FG
Stupid penalty
Blatant bad call on the interference
Reciever left open in the back of the endzone
Missed Two point conversion that hit the reciever between the numbers.

All of that, ALL of it to lose a 3 point spread by one point.

Clearly I got some bad mojo going about now. I know you guys in the Bad Beat section hate the hand I posted, but nobody commented about the one outers I mentioned in the same thread, so it wasn't all just bad play, some pretty horrible luck in big pots, but I'm rambling now......


All the money I have on-line $2755 is on the Missouri game at -16 and $1943 at Missouri at -15.5.

This includes emptying my Neteller account, keep in mind that number was above $10K less than 5 weeks ago, been a tough run.

I lose this bet and it's over for me.

Reel Deal 09-30-06 09:33 AM

Ummm... wow.

Talking Poker 09-30-06 10:52 AM

Yeah, wow. I thought one of the main rules for handicapping was to bet in even units all the time and so on. So why are you going for an all or nothing coinflip???

JDMcNugent7 09-30-06 10:54 AM

yeah seriously wow.
this is crazy, im about to head down and tailgate, kinda cool i get to see all this action live.
i dn how much I like this bet (Coloroda is 0-4 but a good team, and they are gonna come out with somethingto prove) , but it will def. keep the game alot more interesting - I'm rooting for ya man.:thumbsup:

GTDawg 09-30-06 10:56 AM

After suffering bad beats and taking risky bets that don't pan out etc etc...the best thing you can come up with is to put your entire roll on one game?

I mean, if you lose them...it's just going to convince you that you are awful at poker and life and you're going to get pissed off and mad that you lost all that money and that's not really the right way to go about it, right?

Why not take a few weeks off and go do something else you love and leave the poker and betting for another day. Half a dozen people have done that on this site and they have all said they realized it wasn't as bad as they thought and that when they came back they had a clearer head and did better in the long run because they knew they didn't need poker (or betting as the case may be).

For the record, Joey Porter isn't going to be there all the time to intercept a pass and run it back for a TD after a missed FG to help you cover the spread. It's called gambling. It doesn't run good all the time.

If you think about how completely awful you are running now, you have got to run just that good at some point in the future.

Talking Poker 09-30-06 10:57 AM

BTW - I am seeing Kent +2.5. Am I looking at the right game?

I got Purdue at +14.5 and as karma tempting as it would be to bet AGAINST Mizzou (for like 5% of what you have riding on them), I bet a second unit on them -15.5.

Serious question: If you win today, then what? Back to normal or are you going to keep doing this all or nothing stuff until you inevitably go broke?

Talking Poker 09-30-06 11:00 AM

I agree. And it's not too late to "hedge" at least part of this bet, and just eat the vig. I hope you win, but anything can happen, and it just seems so needlessly risky to me.

Penguinfan 09-30-06 11:26 AM

See Bold +

You mentioned karma earlier, so I will probably lose and yes I will quit, I will not regret it. I said before this was a means to an end, I never did it for fun and certainlly don't enjoy it now. I easily put in 30 hours a week handicapping and playing poker, I've got about -6K to show for it recently, thats not a slump, that is things passing you by.

What if I win, I honestly don't know, part of me kinda hopes I lose to be honest.

Penguinfan 09-30-06 12:21 PM

Game is about to kickoff, I'm leaving the house for at least a bit.

If you don't hear from me again, well it's been fun, for the most part.

Good luck, take care and hope the cards treat you better than they have me, that's for sure!

Talking Poker 09-30-06 12:29 PM

Good attitude.

Anyway, after you "double up" today, I have a request - In the future, can you please list te full game (both opponents) when making picks? That should help prevent getting the U ofs mixed up with the States, not to mention typos like Kansas vs. Kent, etc.

Anyway, GL on the Mizzou game.

Talking Poker 09-30-06 12:51 PM

Good start, 7-0 after the opening drive.

Robbr25 09-30-06 01:36 PM

Well I have all my online BETTING money on the Mizzou game too !!
Of course that is only $10,
and
It is what is left from the free $50 the site gave me.
(Lost the other $10 on Rutgers last night :) )

I can understand sports betting slumps like you have been in.
But,
Isn't Mizzou your favorite team ?
Aren't you a little biast towards them ?
I would rather put my money on a game that I "knew" was a lock for that week.

I will still root for you !! Go Tigers !!

Talking Poker 09-30-06 01:38 PM

No such thing.

14-6 in the second quarter.

Robbr25 09-30-06 01:45 PM

Probably not, but there are a couple from earlier this year I wish I had bet more on.
Where a dog was getting a heck of a lot of points(+19/+20) and it ended up being a 3-6 point spread.
Hindsight is 20/20, but to say mediocre teams in big conferences are going to lose by that much usually only happens when playing a top 10 team (which they weren't).

Zybomb 09-30-06 02:06 PM

The Kansas State Line is now -1. This looks like the biggest steal in history since Baylor is absolutely awful (ok maybe this year they are a little better than oawful but...).... so since the line is dropping that means there's something I don't know (and usually means Baylor will win whenever a line reacts like this).... so what is that something?

On a completely unrelated side note.... did anyone ever expect to see these two things in the same line this season: Vanderbilt -33 -110 :eek: ... the sad thing is Temple is that bad though...

Zybomb 09-30-06 03:20 PM

This could be very a few key line (-16), with Mizzoo up by 15 here... although I didn't take any action on this game it seems a lot of you did.... so here's to Mizzoo...

Reel Deal 09-30-06 03:50 PM

Wow one point... ouch.

Robbr25 09-30-06 04:10 PM

yep
one by 1 pt
one by .5 pt
I also lost my bet by .5 pt :(
I think he should find a bar tonight and drink heavily :eek:

JDMcNugent7 09-30-06 04:24 PM

man mizzou played horrible.
this game could have Easily been Way closer, if not the other way around.
i dont know if any of u guys actually saw the game but we got so many lucky breaks.
i was really hopin they'd win by 16, cant beleive it all came down to 1 pt.
GL penguin - hope u dont actually quit the forum.

k now im gonna go tailgate more.

Talking Poker 09-30-06 04:26 PM

Yet another loss for me by 1/2 point. I think that's 4 this year - might only be three. But honestly, who cares about me and my two units here? Penguin just lost his whole roll on this game. Ugh.

I just got home and saw the score.., Man, that really, really sucks.

It's hindsight now, but I wish Penguin had told us he was thinking about doing this before he did it so we could try to talk him out of it. I mean, if you are frustrated and want to be done forever, fine - cash out and buy yourself something nice, like a kick ass 65" plasma to WATCH sports on until you get in the mood to start over and bet small again. But all or nothing.... man.

I hope we see our friend Penguinfan again, but I honestly don't know if we will or not.

PShabi 09-30-06 05:04 PM

I wish I would've seen the Purdue bet before now, because it's gonna sound like hindsight talking. But, I could've got Purdue +18 earlier in the week and didn't want it. They can't defend anyone and they aren't gonna cover 14 today.

Zybomb 09-30-06 06:05 PM

I got it at +15.5....... and you spoke too soon about your boys :D backdoor cover in my favor for once...

Zybomb 09-30-06 07:00 PM

Nevermind... turns out the jokes on me :( I go to check my balance, and it's not what it should be. I look at my completed wagers.... and apparently I took Notre Dame -15.5 not Purdue :eek: :eek: Ishould really pay more attention... it was a small bet ($50) but still, Im pissed

Talking Poker 09-30-06 08:29 PM

Ironically, I won this bet (the typo), and it looks like I'll be losing the Kansas bet.

Eh, call it a wash!

omahilo 09-30-06 11:29 PM

I dont know what to say... Im speechless.

I hope you come back Penguin... I for one enjoy reading all your post about betting, etc.


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