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-   -   Nba 11/01 (http://www.talkingpoker.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3718)

omahilo 11-01-05 05:41 PM

Nba 11/01
 
Im going to give NBA a try this season so I might as well get it started opening night...

Ive got one play for tonight...

SPURS/NUGGETS UNDER 188.5

NBA YTD 0-0

2Tone 11-01-05 08:25 PM

I'd go the other way
 
I hate to bet the under on any game featuring Van Exel, even if he's just coming off the bench.

omahilo 11-01-05 10:28 PM

Den/sa Under Lose

Nba 0-1

lightfungus 11-02-05 12:50 AM

It was a good thought in my mind. Denver has been pretty flaky the past two years in the beginning. And then you have the Spurs...

On the other hand, betting NBA sounds like a wish to be mugged. They play 80ish games... and they get bored and it depends on their mood each night. I just dont think its a betable sport.

Zybomb 11-02-05 03:56 AM

I went 3-0 today. I had Dallas -2 and the Over (double OT gave the to me and a 1 point spread cover YES...and they were down 17 with 6min to go) and I had the Spurs at -9 who just covered also

I love the Heat -4.5 tomorrow in Memphis...... any other picks anyone?

Zybomb 11-02-05 03:59 AM

I disagree I think NBA is the best bet

NFL: Very tough -- too many backdoor covers (like GB this week) and meaningless scores. In addition the people setting the line have an entire week to research etc and make sure its perfect, Bball there are tons of games and they are each day, so the time is not there to put that much effort as football.

MLB: You pretty much go on Pitching Comparisions when betting, so you are usually liking the favorite.....there are no lines, just odds and this works against you when you go 4-5 on a day and barely come out ahead bc of the ridiculous odds.

omahilo 11-02-05 11:51 AM

NFL is pretty hard to bet IMO...

NFL Im a losing bettor this yr while in college football Ive made a ton... in college its alot easier to find a juicy line, etc... While in the NFL anything can happen.

Im sure the NBA is bettable but just gotta know what your doing.

in the DEN/SA game, I thought they were going to play alot more defense... Ive never seen the spurs give up so many easy baskets and Denver will either score 100 or 70 so you just never know.

omahilo 11-02-05 12:14 PM

Todays plays...
 
Wizards (-2) vs Toronto Washington was one of the best teams in the east last year while the raptors were one of the worst. I see Arenas and the boys getting up for the season opener and win this game.

Atlanta (+13) vs Golden State Ive got 2 main reason for making this bet. 1st I believe Atlanta will want to come out and win this season opener after the death of Jason Collier and this kind of emotion has done alot for teams in the past. Also Jason Richardson of Golden State might miss this game and he is possible the warriors best players.

NBA YTD 0-1

lightfungus 11-02-05 01:42 PM

Washington doesnt have Hughes, and whats Batman without Robin? I don't know if the hawks beat golden state by 13(if thats what that +13 means). Believe me, I live in ATL, so I watch them. I hope they win though, and by 13 would be nice.

GeoffM 11-02-05 02:09 PM

+13 makes them the underdog, so they have to lose by less than 13 points. They should cover that.

2Tone 11-02-05 03:36 PM

Yes on one, maybe on the other
 
I can't pick Wizards/Raptors. Too close to call.

But I like Atlanta. 13 is a lot of points, and I don't think Golden State will be cohesive enough this early to break the game wide open.

Also, I'll go with my local Sonics at -6 over the Clippers. We got blown out by them in the opener last year, and will be looking to avoid that embarrassment again.

So far this year 1-0.

Zybomb 11-02-05 06:28 PM

I plan on taking the hawks if and only if Richardson does not play. Atl has lost their last few season openers by 16 or more FYI though (If anyone has an update on Richardson please reply)

I am staying away from the other game -- but I like toronto actually -- they are a good home team and the Wizards are not close to the same team as last year

I like Miami and I am thinking about Indiana as well....

omahilo 11-02-05 09:33 PM

Nov 2 Warriors swingman Jason Richardson missed a second straight practice on Tuesday because of a sore left knee, leaving his status for Wednesday's opener against the Hawks is in question. "I'll play," Richardson told the Contra Costa Times. "I've worked too hard this offseason not to be able to help my teammates. I just have to take a couple of precautions." Warriors coach Mike Montgomery took at less aggressive approach, saying, "It will be a game-time decision. If he can't go or be effective, he can't play."

Regardless I think this injury will slow him down and bring down his minutes because they wont want to overuse him in the opening game of the season.

omahilo 11-02-05 09:43 PM

Wizards (-2) 99 Toronto 96 WIN

NBA YTD 1-1

Zybomb 11-02-05 09:46 PM

thanks for the update

Hit Indiana so far, Heat game is close -- and Im thinkin of going with the Hawks tonight

lightfungus 11-03-05 01:09 AM

See what happend in this game? They were by like 10 and now they are losing by like 20. never underestimate the SUCKINESS of the hawks.

2Tone 11-03-05 01:40 AM

Whoops
 
Got trounced tonight -- both my picks came up big losers. Glad this is theoretical betting for me. Year so far: 1-2.

omahilo 11-03-05 11:29 AM

Hawks blow...

NBA YTD 1-2

omahilo 11-03-05 11:55 AM

Ive got 1 pick for tonight...

PHO/LAL OVER 203

PHO has allowed over 100 pts in their last 10 games (even tho thats only Dallas and SA from the playoffs and the season opener) BUT this game should have no defense in it whatsoever. PHO can score 100+ on any team on any given night and I see them scoring 100 tonight vs a Lakers team that had to play a long game last night that went into overtime.

NBA YTD 1-2

Zybomb 11-04-05 02:20 AM

WOW what a night i had on this game. I took the Suns and the Over parlayed, then I also took 2nd half action, Suns 4 and the over 103 BOOM.

Great call on the over also, it was nearly covered after 3.. and i didnt even think LA was comin from an OT game in high altitude Denver

Im happy for the couple of hundred I won here... my friend (the crazy sports bettor I speak about occassionally won.....5600 on this game alone (risking 2300 total) :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

He really does know NBA well tho, he won over 20,000 during NBA season last yr (although he dropped 90% of it during the baseball season right back)

lightfungus 11-04-05 02:23 AM

I am tempted to get into this, but I think it will ruin the enjoyment I get out of the games.

omahilo 11-04-05 08:43 AM

nice picks Zybomb... I was tempted to put the suns and the over into a parlay as well but I try my hardest not to do parlays.

As you know from Zyboimb's post, this one is a winner.

NBA YTD 2-2.

omahilo 11-04-05 09:55 AM

Nba 11/04
 
Okay Ive got 2 plays for tonight so far... I might add another play later on.

DET (-4) VS BOS I like this play alot because Boston isnt close to being as good as they were last year. They have lose both Payton and Walker to the Heat so Boston is stuck playing alot of younger guys vs a very veteran team of the Pistons. Boston wont come close to scoring 100 pts (or 114pts like they did vs NYK) in this game and DET should win this pretty easily.

SA (-7.5) vs CLEV SA struggled bad on defense vs the nuggets and they STILL were able to win that game by double digits so Im seeing the same thing tonight. The spurs defense will get back on track and keep the cavs from making all the 3 pt baskets like they had in their 1st game vs NO. LeBron will still score 20pts but will have a horrible night shooting with Bruce Bowen all over him.

NBA YTD 2-2

Zybomb 11-04-05 03:17 PM

I like both of these games also. One other I like is the Nets 4 against the Raptors....with Vince Carter comin back to Toronto, I see the Nets performing well tonight

I also like Denver bouncing back from its 0-2 start, I just don't know about the 12.5 spread though....

omahilo 11-04-05 05:29 PM

Alright Ive added 1 more play for tonight...

GS/UTAH OVER 192.5

NBA YTD 2-2.


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