Ty Ftp
 

Full Tilt Cash game, $2/$4 No Limit, 6 players
Hand History by

SB: $400
BB: $206.50
UTG: sitting out
MP: sitting out
CO: $837.40
HERO (Button): $710.80

SB posts Small Blind $2
BB posts Big Blind $4

Pre-flop: 4:s: 3:s: ($6)
CO raises to $14
HERO raises to $48
SB folds
BB folds
CO raises to $155
HERO raises to $710.8 and is all in
CO calls $555.8

Flop: Q:h: 4:h: Q:s: ($1427.6)

Turn: Q:h: 4:h: Q:s: 7:c: ($1427.6)

River: Q:h: 4:h: Q:s: 7:c: Q:d: ($1427.6)

CO shows A:s: K:c:
HERO wins $1425.60 with a full house Queens full of Fours

the fuck?

can u explain please?

or were you just bored?

FYP

xx suited = the nuts.

One word...

WOW!

here is the math behind this

he folds (75%), i win = 116.25
he calls (7.75%), i win = 55.087
he calls, (17.5%) i lose = -124.39

215 + 55.087 - 124.39 = +46.95

basically i just think that he will 4bet with like 9% of his range (roughly 33% of his opens here), but will only call with 2% of his hands that he 4bets with (AK+ KK, which i think is correct considering he used his time bank before calling with AK).


this is just a rough estimate, but i thought with flow and how often i was 3betting this villain, that he would adjust and 4bet light quite often.
Obviously, if it is as big I thought (like example above), it is +EV to shove a bunch of hands.

I think the math is correct here, but obviously i could be wrong.

BL is such the uber nit.