Jay's weak WSOP
 

I haven't been kind in assessing ESPN's Jackpot Jay's play all year, and now's no time to start.

In he details a number of his hands from the ME. Most of them I'm Ok with. But this one ...

2) With one limper already in -- the button -- I completed the small blind to $100 with A-8 unsuited. The big blind checked. The flop came J-6-3, all clubs, and my ace was a club. I checked, the big blind bet $500, the button called, and I called, since I was getting better than 2-1 pot odds (though probably not much in the way of implied odds, since, if a fourth club showed up, it would have been hard to get anybody to call for any amount, no matter how small). The jack of spades came on the turn. I checked; the big blind checked; the button bet $2,000; and I folded, which was fortuitous, because the big blind check-raised to $5,000 and the button went all-in. After a long huddle, the big blind folded, showing his Q-J. The button did not show his hand, even after much wheedling by the big blind -- "Hey, I showed mine" -- but a good guess would be 6-6 or 3-3, don't you think?

I probably would have led with a $500 bet after the flop. Assuming I did check (and I can see the argument for this) I would have re-raised to 3k and tried to pick it up right there. If he comes back all-in, I have a very tough decision to make, but so be it.

Once the jack comes on the turn, if he has a full house, he wins, and I'm out. Otherwise, I'm taking this pot. Lead with a good size bet, re-raise if possible.

How would you have played it?

17 views ...
 

And nobody has thoughts on how it should have been played?

there's no way you lead out into this pot and win it... you cannot convince your opponent you flopped a flush and are just going to simply lead out... i probably would have check-raised the flop... however if i got called by both players i'm stopping right there (especially when the J hits on the turn)

Make him show his full house
 

I seem to be in the minority about freaking out about this hand.

I can see checking on the flop, assuming you have the intention of check raising, which Junyun and I agree on. But a paired board isn't slowing me down here. Him having J/6 or J/3 is very unlikely, so all I'm really worried about here is a pair of jacks (meaning he has quads, and I'm really screwed), 6s or 3s. That's three possible hands, one of them a serious long shot. Meanwhile, I have the absolute nut flush, and I want to get paid off.

i don't know if you noticed this, but he did NOT have a flush. he had a flush draw... only had Ac.....

Flush with embarrassment
 

Of course, junyun is right. <Hangs head in shame>. I guess I should learn to count clubs before getting so worked up about a hand.

But Jay is an clueless poker player for having played(seiously) for a year, and a mediocre writer. Calling is definately weakest here. I take what is probably the less risky manuver here and bet out. If nobody's got a pair or a decent club, they'll probably just give up on the hand(smallish pot), if somebody has something, you'll be able to fold pretty easily. Check raising is also a good move here too, but you'd at least have to double/triple the bet, and that's a little to much risk for me for what is initially a small pot.

i bet if he check-raised the size of the pot (or all-in depending on if thats a slight more or not) he would have won it right there...