critique these numbers....
Ok, so I recently started playing again after a two-month break. Before the break I was a winning player (limit and NL) at a rate and level I was happy with. After the break this has continued, although this time around I dropped to $25NL and $11 SNGs-didn’t provide myself with a large bankroll and I don’t have enough time to give to the 6-max limit grind (this is my favorite game, but for me it requires lots of time to grind it and built a large enough sample to smooth out some of the variance).
Here are the stats for 6-max $25NL day 1 (approx 1200 hands small sample, I know) W$SF is 39.4% W$SD is 46.9% SD is 9.4% VP$IP is 28.6% PFR is 14.2%, AF is 2.17. VP$IP is a little high for me. It could be due to small sample or I might be a little loose, I will look into that. Usually I run around 22-25% for NL 6-max. AF is a little low for me, usually I run around 2.8-3.1. What concerns me is the W$SD. That seems way too low for me and could be a real leak. It tells me is that I am not giving enough credit when players stick around. Solution 1 would be to crank up the aggression a little and then release if anyone sticks, or solution 2 would be to continue as I am but to keep in mind this potential leak. Any other comments? And I know that this is a small sample size, but these numbers are trending pretty close to normal except where noted. edit-to correct the grammer mistakes I noticed, can you find more? |
is AF aggression factor?
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yeah
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nothing to do with this post, but i just played 200 hands of 2/4 after it some guy told my me AF was 18.4 . thats a big high. I was $220 up though. So....who knows! Those numbers look ok to me, but im not an expert |
200 is a pretty small sample size right? |
very. Just laughed at the number. Its pretty high for any amount of hands
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You are getting too worked up about the won at showdown % if you only have 1200 hands. Many of those pokertracker stats aren't even negligible until about 20,000 hands.
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Also, I don't really think won at showdown % is that that great of a stat. Everyone I have over 5K hands has one around 47-54. If it is below that, you are probably just running bad.
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Because a lot of the time a +EV call on the river in NL could have a W$SD around 25-33% (in the most simple situation of just calling a bet on the river), or do you have some other reason why you don't like this stat?
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Personally, I think went to showdown % is a better statistic than won at showndown %. I suppose there is some merit in both stats, but they don't really materialize until you have far more hands than you currently do now.
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Right...
Take a limit poker hand, for example: If you're getting 10:1 on a river call and you are winning 30% of these showdowns, that is HUGE +EV. Sure, you could start folding a lot more to increase your W$SD number, but that woud be killing much more important numbers, namely your BB/100. The same is true for NL, as you suggested. |
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