Bottom line is Peyton Manning vs Rex Grossman. Sure, teams have won the Super Bowl with mediocre QB's, but I can't off the top of my head think of a Team with a below average QB beating a team with an elite QB in the big game.
This will be a more typical Super Bowl. The game will be over before the 4th quarter.
Colts 34 - 13
Kickers will be a non-factor, which is good because I'm still steamed at Vinitieri for losing me a lunch bet with his 1st quarter chip-shot miss in XXXVIII