Late tourney situations are close analogues to SNGs. The math of poker is such that long negative streaks happen. When you play correct ICM - type strategy you often end up either getting all your chips in as a small favorite (Pair vs 2 overs, AJ vs KQ, etc.) because based on the size of the blinds vs stack size, you know you can't sit around and wait for the times you're a bigger favorite.
Bottom line, the long run is a lot longer than you think. You may still be playing close to optimal bubble strategy but are caught in a short-run (50-100 tourney) fluctuation.
__________________
"Animals die, friends die, and I shall die. But the one thing that will never die is the reputation I leave behind."
Old Norse adage
|