Thread: Hsp $500k
View Single Post
  #20  
Old 11-13-07, 11:33 PM
Talking Poker's Avatar
Talking Poker Talking Poker is offline
Adminimus Maximus
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Florida Coast
Posts: 27,480
Talking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep Points
Default

The first half of your first paragraph says pretty much exactly what I said, using slightly different words. I disagree with your assessment that PA agreed to run it three times to keep Gold happy though.

A. Who cares if Gold is happy? This is tv, and you know he's not leaving. He need to act like a fearless donkey and try to be the best bluffer in the world, remember?

B. This is about as good of an opportunity as you are ever (literally) going to get to break Gold (he's not going to be playing for nearly 800k pots on a regular basis - that figure likely represents 1/3 to 1/2 of Gold's roll), so why not just go for it now? If anything, your logic is backwards - he should be ok with running it once and risking the chance of Gold scooping the whole pot if he knows he'll have time to take it back from him later.

PA agreed to run it three times for the simple reason that it reduces variance. Even though the largest pot ever shown on HSP may not be the biggest he's ever played for, it's still a lot of money, and the more times you run it, the closer your share of the pot will be to your expected value - 77% or whatever it was in this case.

Shit, if that were me, I'd run it with every last card in the deck if Gold wanted to. Why not? Sure, I'll plit the pot 77/23 with him right now.
__________________

Got RakeBack?
27% at Full Tilt | 33% at Cake Poker | 30% at Carbon Poker