[Wes]

that is a bad bet if you bet on nadal. i saw fish and nadal (twice) live and fish has an awesome serve that could easily allow him to win on hard courts whereas nadal's game doesn't translate as well to hard courts. Not to say that Nadal isn't easily the favorite, but I think -600 is the correct line.

And do not, and I can't stress this enough, do not bet on Shamrock. He is an absolute can now. If kimbo has any conditioning he should be able to breath on shamrock and shamrock's knees will buckle by now.

hamil vs. franklin seems like where the line should be at (-250ish for Franklin). Hamil did look good in one of the worst decisions ever when he lost to Bisping, but it seems to be lost that Franklin was a monster before he met #1 pound for pound Spiderman Silva. Franklin doesn't really have a whole lot of experience against wrestlers though in his career (Evan Tanner at UFC 53 seems like the last fight with someone with wrestling skills) though so it is hard to know what to expect.