Yes that is based on the assumption that none of his cards were dealt. And that is best case scenario. If you calculate 15 out of 46 unseen cards, of course that percentage will fall drastically. Some where around the area of 35%. Which would make him a 2 to 1 underdog going to the river. But I guess his feeling was that 1 out of 3 times he is going to make his hand.
Whatever.......It's over. And I need to get my groove back on.