[Reel Deal]

I've been in a football pool for over 15 years where we have to pick against the spread with 10 NFL games (and 10 college) each week. About 10 years into it I took all of our past pool games (roughly 1,000 games) and ran the stats on the record of home favorites/away dog and home dogs/away favorites. I don't remember the exact percentages but home dogs were some where around a 56% winner and away dogs covered around 52% of the time. So, based on that data, whenever I pick my games in the pool each week my default pick is to take the points unless I have a very good reason not to take them. I've won this pool probably 5-6 times and am currently in first place this year.