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Old 06-20-05, 07:50 PM
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Florida Coast
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Talking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep Points
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While not impossible, this is one tough task.

Ten players in a SNG. All things equal, you should expect to finish between 5th and 6th. Let's say you are a SNG God, and can finish 1st 80% of the time. Find me someone with a stat like that, and I'll back him all day long. But just for kicks, let's say that's you.

That means the chances of you winning 5 in a row are .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 * .8 = 33%.

Now let's me more realistic and STILL use crazy numbers. Let's say you actually have a history of winning HALF the SNGs you play in. Now the odds of you winning 5 in a row are .5 * .5 * .5 * .5 * .5 = 3%. 3%!!! And that's assuming you win 50% of the SNGs you play in.

See how much the number dropped from 80% to 50%?

Now let's assume you are the average player and you win 1 SNG out of every 10 you play in. Now what are you odds of winning 5 in a row?

.1 * .1 * .1 * .1 * .1 = .001% or 1 in 100,000. Yes, 1 in 100,000.

I dont' thikn they need to worry about paying off too many of these. whgat they do need to worry about (and you too) is how many more people are going to cheat to try to make this happen. If you get 3 or 4 guys in a single SNG dumping chips to one player.............. think about it.
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