Good post, john.
At the risk of oversimplifying this:
-Yes, of course there is luck in poker, especially in the short term.
-In the long run though, "luck" evens out for everyone (even you, Penguinfan), and the most skilled players end up with the most money.
It's that simple.
As for how long it takes to reach the long run, I don't have an answer for you, but I can tell you it's one hell of a lot longer than ONE HAND... so I'm sorry, but Exhibit A is inadmissible. Submit 50,000 hands worth of Poker Tracker stats and show me how you only get AA 1 in every 500 hands and when you do, show me that you only win with it 10% of the time. THAT, I will accept as evidence.
I will also likely show you how badly you played your AA, whether you were limping in with it, folding it preflop because you think it's "unlucky" or whatever, but at least we will have real, concrete evidence to work with.
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