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Old 12-04-05, 03:06 AM
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Talking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep Points
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I dunno. Never really thought about it.

If someone wanted to BACK me for a cash game, I guess I'd do it. I mean, no risk to me, right? Like if you gave me $5000 and wanted me to play 30/60 (6 max, of course) with it until I entier doubled it or lost it, I'd do it. That's only 80some BBs, which is NOT a proper bankroll, so there is a chance I would bust with it, but I'd say it's probably a 20% chance I'd bust and an 80% chance I'd double it.

So, if the deal was that I don't lose anything if I bust and I get to keep half the profits if I double it, I'd be risking nothing with a shot to earn $2500. Seems like a great deal on the surface, but if my 80/20 guesses were correct, I think that means my EV on the $5000 would be: .8 * 5,000 + .2 * - 5000 = $3000. And since $3000 is > $2500, that means I shouldn't use a backer and should back myself.

Right? Did I do that right?

Of course, that's all dependent on my 80/20 numbers being correct, and those could be way off, I guess. If we change them to 60/40, my EV becomes just $1000 which is much less than the $2500 from the backing, so I should use the backer.

I realize this has nothing to do with the original question any more, but as I started typing, it just kept on coming out. Sorry about that. Interesting to think about though.
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