Thread: ME Final 9
View Single Post
  #15  
Old 07-16-08, 09:18 PM
Kurn's Avatar
Kurn Kurn is offline
cha'DIch of the Poker Gods
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Warwick, RI
Posts: 3,584
Kurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep PointsKurn User has between 2000 and 2499 Rep Points
Default


And I admit I'm posting a generalization. I have no idea how tight the table was playing, and rereading my post, I made one mistake. I think I should have said AQo is +EV vs the 3-bettor with the dead money of the original raiser in the pot. It's a bubble situation, and *if* they're playing tighter than normal the reraiser folds 99-JJ a big percentage of the time, and the original raiser may fold QQ (we know he'll fold AK)

I may watch the play up to that point and say "oops, no way you shove AQo into THAT guy when he 3-bets." but absent that kind of read, I don't think the play was terrible at all.

In his place I make that play all the time. I either double up and have a nice stack for November or walk away with a half million after taxes and NOT have my life become a public specatcle for 4 months. Pure win-win, if you ask me.
__________________
"Animals die, friends die, and I shall die. But the one thing that will never die is the reputation I leave behind."

Old Norse adage