As for original prop bet, I just realised that I was looking at my PT3 incorrectly -- my "at least 5 players" filter doesn't filter the hands in "player summary", but does in other tabs (e.g. hands, positions, winnings). The result being I am actually further behind than I thought. Apparently I stacked a couple of people when it was 4-handed, but one or two players were sitting out
I just want this prop bet to be over before I go on holiday on Wednesday, so let's do it.
I might put up a post before my final 100 hands or something, in case anyone wants to rail the finish. Could have some interesting scenarios in the final few orbits.
JD I would be willing to risk about 4k on your bet. Wes-- I think 2:1 is decent value because 12 straight months is damn difficult.
% chance of winning 10k each month vs. % chance of winning 10k for 12 months:
95% - 54%
90% - 28%
85% - 14%
80% - 7%
75% - 3%