I updated the SQL in the first posts with "x.real_player_id" instead of "x.player_id."
So here are my personal results with raising donk bets. I'm using my Troll Pie ID only, so these should only be hands from 1/2 NL - 5/10 NL (all 6 max) games on Full Tilt since last October or so.
I raised 362 donk bets.
Donk has folded 189 times.
So, that's 52% of the time that I've taken down the pot right there.
I know one person will find this useless, but I think this is awesome, since in my head, I was guessing this number (for me, obviously) to be slightly over 50%.
For the stupid among you, please be aware that I do not think I have proved always raising a donk bet to be profitable or anything else like that. But I have proved that for me, when I have choosen to raise a donk bet, it has indeed been +EV... at least as far as the bet itself is concerned and ignoring the rest of the hand (where I am almost certain I have won a lot more money that I have lost).
I'd be interested in seeing more people's numbers, especially the people who speculated what their results were in the other thread.
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