Whew!
And yeah, as GT said, I wouldn't be THAT picky. You could certainly finish the orbit. I'd even be willing to give you like 10 or 20 BBs for variance. In other words, you are playing 1/2 and get to 4200 or something. So you move to 2/4. Now you drop to 3980. No, you don't need to move down THAT HAND - that's not what you are planning, right? But if you get down in the 3900 neighborhood (25 more BBs down), you'll probably finish the orbit and move down. At least that's what I'm guessing.
My money was more on the fact that I think you're either going to get bored and move up prematurely (especially from 3/6 to 5/10) or that uberfish is going t owant to play you HU and you won't be able to resist. I think you'll send me $50 just for the change to play him - therefore, I think this is a +EV bet.
I'm also assuming you plan on playing a lot between now and the 25th. If you don't get in at least 10k hands, I think I shouldn't have to pay off...
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