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#1
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JD's 1 play a day
Here you will find my biggest play of the day and you can just follow along and probably lose, or fade all my bets and win all $. Actually I plan on making right around a million on this so we'll see how it goes. Not going for the easy win plays where you lay $4OO to win $1OO, just my best value plays of the day.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" Last edited by JDMcNugent7; 04-30-10 at 01:31 AM. |
#2
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Do you know that you're using the letter O for the number 0?
In any case, I think sports betting is like poker....most ppl thinks that they're better than what they are. The sports betting sites make a lot of money off the juice and have done a lot to set the lines "correct". Unless you have a database set up like Haralobos Volgaris I don't think it's best to treat sports betting like the lottery...and just have fun with it. You really need a huge bankroll/bet large and hit in order to really hit a goal of a million. |
#3
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ya, 0 key is broken on the comp. I usually use.
The trying to make a million thing is a joke, but I'd take it. I literally have 0.002% on my sports betting site compared to the $ I have just in stock. So ya, def just doing it for fun, but it's not fun to lose, so might as well try to win. Ya I know Vegas makes certain lines to sway people to bet on certain sides. Perfect example was Cubs game 2 days ago. The over under was set at 13! That is Insane, and they knew the public would see that # and just pound the under. They probably had the real line around 14.5, but they want at least some $ coming in on the over. The wind was blowing out to center field at almost 30 mph, a damn pop-fly was a homerun, Arizona scored 13 runs alone and Cubs added 5. Guarentee the sportsbooks cleaned up on that bet. I look at all the time to see thoughts on games after I come up with my own, and when they match up with winning bettors that's when I really love them. The good ones knew the over was the play as soon as they saw it set at 13. I think sports betting is almost exactly like poker too. Juice kills sports, rake kills poker. In both, probably 99% of people lose $, and both have a small percentage of standouts who consistenly profit. BR management is a Huge key in both. Right now I feel like poker has way more skill than sports betting, but probably b/c I know 1000 times more about poker, and I'm sure a case could be made either way pretty easily. 15 unit Bet for Friday is Tampa Bay -1.5 over KC. Could take the -210 line but that is def not as +EV.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" Last edited by JDMcNugent7; 04-30-10 at 04:47 AM. |
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good thing I was mad I lost and put way more on Dodgers -1.5 to make it back, best play might be TB -1.5 again but I'm waiting for the line to go down.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" |
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