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#1
09-26-09, 12:05 PM
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NFL week#3
N.O. -4.5 vs buff
Giants -7 vs t.b. 7-2 thru week 2
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I like to get my money in when behind, that way I cant get drawn out 
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#2
09-26-09, 04:28 PM
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1 unit on each
Giants -7 Houston -4 San Diego -6 Dallas -8.5
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" Last edited by JDMcNugent7; 09-26-09 at 04:32 PM. |
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#4
09-26-09, 07:22 PM
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why? I really don't know NFL nearly as well as college, but I still want to have some bets going on Sunday. But why is it such a bad idea in the NFL, I can still change the bets.
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"Suffer the pain of discipline or suffer the pain of regret" "Rome wasn't built in a day" Last edited by JDMcNugent7; 09-26-09 at 07:29 PM. |
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#5
09-26-09, 08:39 PM
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i got atlanta +190 on the money line. I think atlanta is pretty clear the better team here, but people still remember the patriots from two years ago. Too bad the offensive and defensive lines are significantly worse this year for the patriots. I think the patriots end this year 8-8 even with a soft schedule unless Belicheck pulls out some miracle coaching ability.
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#6
09-27-09, 08:36 AM
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Your point on the Pats' O-line is spot on. Matt Light has looked weak in the first two games. On the D-line, I might disagree, simply because the Pats haven't had a pass rush since I can't remember and Seymour is overrated. He was the 3rd best on that line after Ty Warren and Wilfork and didn't play hard on every down. Even in the 16-0 season, they were getting torched by deep middle routes because they couldn't rush the QB. The only reason they went 16-0 was that they could pretty much outscore anybody, and those skill players are now 2 years older and I for one am not certain Joey Galloway is an upgrade over Jabbar Gaffney.
That said, I still think they can beat the Falcons who don't have 2 shut-down cover corners like the Jets, so blitzing will leave Brady with more quick-hit options. But, then again, I think like a fan. 
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"Animals die, friends die, and I shall die. But the one thing that will never die is the reputation I leave behind." Old Norse adage |
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#7
09-26-09, 11:28 PM
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I've been in a football pool for over 15 years where we have to pick against the spread with 10 NFL games (and 10 college) each week. About 10 years into it I took all of our past pool games (roughly 1,000 games) and ran the stats on the record of home favorites/away dog and home dogs/away favorites. I don't remember the exact percentages but home dogs were some where around a 56% winner and away dogs covered around 52% of the time. So, based on that data, whenever I pick my games in the pool each week my default pick is to take the points unless I have a very good reason not to take them. I've won this pool probably 5-6 times and am currently in first place this year.
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GO GREEN!!! GO WHITE!!! |
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