![]() |
#1
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
Looking over the games thusfar, I am going to be placing a lot of bets... especially on several homedogs that I like here. In fact I don't think I've ever bet on so many dogs, nor have I seen so many home dogs with a real shot of winning straight up. Here goes my SEVEN GAME list
![]() Florida State -4.5 at Maryland PICK: Maryland +4.5 Maryland has been a tough team all season long, with their only losses coming against a Top 5 West Virginia Team and a squeeky tight loss against a ranked Georgia Tech. Florida State after their big win against Miami has fallen short against Clemson and BC at home...neither of the two are pushovers, but they key loss I believe comes at NC State, who Maryland defeated last week (in a game that was not nearly as close as the final score of 26-20 indicates). Especially at home getting points I like Maryland, I think they can win outright. Michigan State -7.5 at Indiana. PICK: Indiana +7.5 Michigan State needed a huge comeback to defeat an awful Northwestern team and that was their only win in the big 10 on the season. Indiana has won at Illinois and defeated a tough Iowa at home, while Michigan State was defeat by Illinois at home. The Hoosiers may win this outright, but + a TD and a hook with homefield advantage I'll jump on it Miami +5 at Georgia Tech PICK: Georgia Tech -5 Georgia Tech should bounce back from an awful performance in Clemson with a home victory against a struggling Miami team who only managed to beat a winless pathetic Duke team by 5 points last week. Especially at home and bouncing back from an awful performance, Tech should win by at least a TD here. Tennessee -4.5 at South Carolina PICK: Tennessee -4.5 The only Road team that I like this week in CFB is the Vols, a team no one expected to be that good at the start of the season. Interesting Stat: South Carolina has lost 8 straight games to top ten teams. The Vols proved on the road that they can beat a solid (well "solid" I guess) Georgia team in dominating fashion (though it was close until the 2nd half). This same Georgia team shut out South Carolina in South Carolina. I like the Vols with the fairly small spread here. Arizona State Pick Em at Washington PICK: Washington This spread started as another home dog with Arizona being a 2 point favorite but has moved down to a pick em. Washing was a double unit winner for me last week getting 24 points against California in a game they almost won. They are seriously underated in my opinion and Arizona's only conference win has come against a pathetic Stanford team. Though losing, Washington kept it close with Top 5 USC and Ranked Cal, while Arizona State was destroyed by Cal and Oregon. At home I'll take Washington straight up. Washington State +1 at UCLA PICK: UCLA -1 This started out as another home dog as well, with The Bruins getting 2 points, but it has quickly moved 3 points to -1. I think UCLA will be out for blood after their dissapointing last minute loss to Notre Dame last week. All 3 of the Bruins losses have come on the road, and although the Cougars hold a victory on the Road against Oregon State and a home victory against Oregon (who defeated the Bruins), I think UCLA has too much energy for them this time, especially with home field advantage. Apparantly with the spread moving this early in the week already, Vegas thinks so too ![]() THURSDAY GAME Clemson -4.5 at Virginia Tech PICK: Virginia Tech +4.5 V Tech has a habbit of spoiling teams seasons when they themselves have already slipped (e.g: 2003 Miami game where they pounced them 30 something to 7 ). In addition V Tech is 10-1 ATS in the last 15 years as a home dog. Clemson has never been a good road team, as they are 8-10 in the past several season on the road. Finally only 4 times in their last 13 Road victories have they won by more than 4 points. Im going with Tech and the points here. Penguin, Omaha, others, feel free to input/ include any of your games you've seen
__________________
"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents." |
|
|