Ty Ftp

[Wes]

here is the math behind this

he folds (75%), i win = 116.25
he calls (7.75%), i win = 55.087
he calls, (17.5%) i lose = -124.39

215 + 55.087 - 124.39 = +46.95

basically i just think that he will 4bet with like 9% of his range (roughly 33% of his opens here), but will only call with 2% of his hands that he 4bets with (AK+ KK, which i think is correct considering he used his time bank before calling with AK).


this is just a rough estimate, but i thought with flow and how often i was 3betting this villain, that he would adjust and 4bet light quite often.
Obviously, if it is as big I thought (like example above), it is +EV to shove a bunch of hands.

I think the math is correct here, but obviously i could be wrong.