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#2
10-01-06, 02:30 AM
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I have a feeling we're not going to be getting any more picks from Penguinfan... that sucks. I was planning on riding his picks all season, but now I may have to make my own.
I see you guys are already contradicting each other above (Saints game). I wouldn't touch that game, but if someone made me, I'd take the Saints and the points. Especially if you can get more than 7. I haven't bet yet and there are a bunch of game I wouldn't touch, but I also see some that I like. Namely: Indy -8 (like it, don't love it) Chargers -1.5 (same) Titans +9.5 (like this one a lot) Chiefs -7 (another like) Texans +3.5 (like) Rams - 5.5 (definitely like this play) I think that's it. I want to like the Eagles -10.5, but I can't. So here's my problem with handicapping. I just listed 6 games that I like, and none that I LOVE. So which one(s) do I bet on??? I remember Penguin saying that you should only pick the BEST plays out there and bet the same number of units on each of them. Well, I don't know which of these are the best.... NOTHING really stands out to me as being "off" other than the Titans game, and even that line only looks to be about 3 points "off" to me... So anyway, when this is the case, do you just not bet at all? I'm leaning towards betting smaller units and going with all my picks. |
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#3
10-01-06, 05:05 AM
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Something is fishy with the SD Ravens Game. The spread started at -3 at the beginning of this weak... it quickly went down to -2.5, earlier today it moved to -2 and now it's -1.5.......... I really like SD here, however whenever a line moves like this, I would say with 80% accuracy the team it's moving in favor of (in this case SD) loses the game... Im leaning towards not touching the game because of this... something is up...
__________________
"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents." |
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#4
10-01-06, 05:09 AM
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The Indy line has moved down a full point and the Meadowlands is going to be pumped for this. The Jets weakest part of their D is their run D, and thats the part where Indy is lacking. I see this being a shootout game which the Jets wont be able to keep up with, but a toss up whether it'll be a TD win for the Colts or more....
Problems with the Titans and the Texans line... you're taking two of the worst teams in football and asking them to cover a spread for you... i realize theyre both home, but in general this isnt smart.... Tenn is playing Dallas (who is a team that always has their spreads blown up bc ppl all over the country like to bet on Dallas) which is one point in their favor... I just hate relying on bad teams to come thru. The Rams bet isn't bad nor is the Chiefs.
__________________
"Most of the money you'll win at poker comes not from the brilliance of your own play, but from the ineptitude of your opponents." |
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#5
10-01-06, 10:07 AM
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I got the rams also today.
The lions are my whippingboys this season 
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I like to get my money in when behind, that way I cant get drawn out 
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#7
10-01-06, 11:43 AM
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Thanks for the feedback on my picks. Excellent point about the Texans/Titans. You too, Zy...
I'll be interested to see how I do on my own this week. I didn't keep track of my "hypotheticals" so far this year, but I do know that in Week 2 I would have been something like 4-1, and I think my other weeks would have had me an overall winner as well. I ended up lowering the size of my "unit," but I bet on all of the games I liked. |
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#8
10-01-06, 12:02 PM
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I hardly ever bet football, but the Chargers at -1 is insanely good.
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