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Old 07-14-08, 10:31 PM
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Kurn Kurn is offline
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Default Poker Math - What they don't get

One point I've made about SNG play has always been that to play SNGs regularly, you must have a thick skin, because intelligent ICM play will often lead to you being berated. Case in point.

FT SNG earlier this evening, 3 handed (approx chip counts)

150/300

Button: 8500
SB: Stinky Devil 2600
BB: 2400

BB's Sharkscope shows a 34% ROI, 146 SNGs, $14 abi.

OK, this guy may or may not be good, too few games to tell, but we know one thing, he THINKS he's good. In fact, he's SURE he's good.

Button folds, Stinky shoves with J T, BB has seen Stinky shove a few times, calls and turns over A 7

Stinky flops a T and villain gets no help and is done.

From the rail he says:

"Really sick."
"The luck of the dumb."

Stinky of course does not reply.

Now ask yourself this. Had Stinky shoved with AKo and villain had called with QQ and Stinky spiked an A, what would villain have said? I'll guess "nh, gg."

What's wrong with this?

AKo is a 57:43 dog vs QQ.
JTo is a 55:45 dog vs A7o

Go back and read that again. Your opponents are clueless as to the actual math of the game. So when they call you an idiot, don't listen to them.
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