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Old 04-05-08, 02:40 AM
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Talking Poker Talking Poker is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Florida Coast
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Talking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep PointsTalking Poker has between 3000 and 3499 Rep Points
Default I think I need a boost...

You probably know that I've been playing almost exclusively $200 HU SNGs for a while now - pretty much all of 2008 (I played a bunch of $100s in January, but all $200s since). I've played 938 this year, and have a 6.6% ROI. Note that that is including 150 $220 turbos where I had a -13.3% ROI (ugh - nasty combo of running AND playing badly resulted in me going 68-82). Lifetime in the $200 regulars (838 matches), I have a 9.3% ROI. These numbers are not including rakeback, bonuses, etc.

I will be the first to admit that I have been running pretty damn hot for the past week and change, but I also had two ridiculous downswings earlier this year. I think approaching 1000 SNGs is probably a decent sample, right?

So, here's the problem (and I guess it's a good problem to have): I keep building up my account and then cashing out, rinse and repeat. I WANT to take it to the next level (I think I do anyway), but $500 buy ins are 2.5x what I'm playing at now - and knowing how easy it is to lose 4, 5, 6 in a row (I once lost TEN straight $220+10 turbos), I'm not sure I'm ready for that kind of potential downswing.

How many buy ins do you think I should have (leave) online before taking a shot? Should I maybe try to play a set number of them (maybe 10?), and move back down if I win 5 or less, and continue with the shot if I win 6 or more?

I really don't know what to do. I feel like I'm at a crossroad, and I'm torn. Quite frankly, I'm happy to keep grinding out the $200 SNGs, so I just might do that. But I'm interested to hear people's thoughts.
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