Does any1 win anymore?

[JDMcNugent7]

Seriously does any1 win $ anymore? Mayhem and I have both been basically broke for awhile, TP is losing in his stake. Wes are u winning? Is any1 winning? I think this forum is cursed and we all need to start winning at the same time or something

[Zybomb]

Since Jan of 2009 I have basically been running behind horrible. The increase rake in the live games Im playing in obviously doesn't help matters either, nor does the fact that a lot of the fish have dried up (or improved) and due to a bad economy not as many recreation gamblers are regularly playing. I did have a winning 2009 but it was my worst year since I started keeping records in 2005. 2008 was the first full year I played exclusively, and I can surely say that if my 2008 was like 2009 I'd be working again (fortunately it was my best year ever). I did start the first 2.5 months of 2010 on a 20k heater (and by heater I mean my KK was holding up vs AQ all in pre and similiar) but have had a pretty brutal last 4 weeks which snatched away half of that.

While all that was happening my boy Taha managed to cash for 19k in the $5k NAPT Mohegan ME last week, 16k in the $560 Borgata Spring Open Deep Stack earlier this week ,and just today finished 4th in the $7500 Borgata East Coast Championship for 44k. How's that run for a week and a half...


On a side note the forum has been pretty dead lately...I think the central core of us should really focus in putting in some discussion on Situations and Hands played. I know that years ago this place helped my game tremendously just going over hands with everyone -- we have the skill set to step our game up so let's do the damn thing

[PShabi]

I'm crushing (relatively speaking, close to 2bb/hr) the live LHE games I play. I'm also profitable online in 3/6 and 5/10 LHE games. Not by much, but rb adds to it. Online is fucking sad though now. I used to 4-table Party 5/10 6max and kill it and also rake 1k+ in rb every month and I was literally like 1/2 as good as I am now. LOL.

[JDMcNugent7]

I've been convinced I've been running horrible forever too, but it's lasting so long I'm starting to think I just really suck. I know I've been running like complete shit but it's like never ending lately. I've been playing only HU and I mean it's pretty annoying when the last 2 days I think I've C/R the river all in 3 times with stuff like trips, set, and top 2 for value, and even all my value hands are losing. It's just like wtf how did I used to win at this game. It's like everytime I get in with dominating hands I find a way to lose and even when I think I'm going for value, they have the very few cards that are actually ahead, guess running bad just lasts way longer than you think sometimes.

I'm starting to finally get back into poker, but with the little $ I have online it just makes it so frustrating.

[thrash1294]

Hey JD why not go back to what you were doing when you running super hot ?If I recall you played 6max or full ringback then?

[Wes]

seems like the more accurate picture

the only money left in hold em is for the great or the people patient enough to grind out 2bb/100.

[JDMcNugent7]

I never played full ring, and I've def done my best at HU, and that's what I've been playing. fwiw, I actually have a much better winrate at 5/10 than anything below it. Actually its not uncommon in the higher stakes guys to have much lower winrates at the smaller games. We rely so much on reads and how we think people perceive our hands and how we think they should play theirs, that playing against people that don't understand that stuff actually ends up hurting the winrate. Ideally I'd just deposit 20k and play 5/10 and stuff and, but depositing 20k is impossible it seems.

If some1, (maybe Wes) had 20k they could give me online if I just mailed them a 20k check, I'd do it in a heartbeat. As long as we can find a very secure way of doing it and everything. I hate having over 300k offline and not being able to play freakin 2/4 comfortably online. If I knew it'd be so damn hard to deposit I never would have cashed out so much

[Wes]

lol.

poker commentary on forums has not advanced since 2007. people still play their hands instead of figuring out the proper way to play with their own ranges. this forum is rather pervasive in this.

[Wes]

I'd give you 20k ftp if you gave me 20k in cash in person or w/e the vig amount usually is associated with that.

[Kurn]

I've also been having a pretty annoying year. Playing primarily $30 - $50 SNGs, January was a 25 buy-in downswing. I managed to battle back to even in mid march and since then have regressed to a few bucks above my January low point.

The only plus side (online - I'm solidly in the black in my few LHE & NLHE live games) is my pwnage of the low buy-in Stud/8 and HORSE multis coupled with a win on $5 R&A satellite for the NAPC qualifier which I cashed out as T$ on 'Stars. Without these, I'd be grinding very low BI SNGs. As it is, I'm still playing mainly $30s - $50s now.

SNG wise, I'm not sure how much of my frustration is variance, how much is too many people having read Moshman, or maybe a flawed analysis on my part of what made '09 a better year than '08. I suspect I've gotten too cautious, no so much in push/call ranges, but at the stack size where I go pushbot with less than strong hands.

In '08 I regularly used to push over smaller stacks at the 10 BB point. After absorbing Moshman I tightened up my 12-9 BB push/call range and did not really open up until around 7 BB. I'm beginning to wonder now if the marginal drop in fold equity in these cases is the main factor that's causing me problems right now.

In the final analysis, it is probably a combination of factors that I need to work out to find the proper balance.

A secondary factor is I'm now playing a lot more SNGs on 'Stars and that requires a slightly different approach than 'Tilt due to the difference in the structures between the two sites.

The good news is I'm patient, and of course, in the words if Jim Kelly, "I'm an optimist with a short memory."

[sjay2k]

Poker has definitely got a lot harder, but it's still very beatable.

JD i don't think you need to be stooping as low as .5/1nl hu.

The major times I've played poorly is when I've feeled "entitled" to win just because I have in the past. You just need to maintain the discipline. There's a lot more than the FTP games, which used to be awesome, but now are overcrowded.

Needless to say I'm f wasted in Rio. Dangerous, dangeorus city. I will escape here or die trying.