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Old 01-12-12, 04:23 PM
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Invigilator Invigilator is offline
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Default against my better judgement (progress report)

After what I went through in my previous poker run, I admit that I had become a proponent of proper BR management and was a convert against short stacking. However, I am currently in the process of eating some those words, out of some BR necessity.

(I could claim it was out of necessity last time too, but I did not know 25% of what I know of the game now back when I made a lot of my management mistakes)

Here is the story so far.

After a few thousand hands at 1 cent 2 cent, I lost 25 bucks of $100 deposit. (the graph moved down consistently - no notable or dramatic upward movement) As the sample size grew I poured over and over pokertracker: analyzing number and individual hands, looking for the major holes. What I found was that I was consistently seeing flops 3-5 ways when I raised preflop. (except when I just took down the blinds). The range of hand that were calling were enormous, and did not reflect the hands you would think would be involved).

Those who know me know that I am neither a genius nor an erratic player, but I am a winning player.

Then on the weekend, I was lamenting my situation to Oceanwaves, and she pointed out that everyone who is playing 1cent 2cent is treating each hand like a lottery ticket. It is like trying to predict the behaviour of bad homegame players.

I thought about this for a while, looked at my notes again decided to try short stacking 5 cent 10 cent. I sat down at 2 tables with 80% of the buy in, and had made back almost all my losses from 1c/2c in one session.

yes, I got hit in the face with cards
yes, variance had me on an upswing

BUT what I found was that I was that there was a predictability in the play that I could exploit. A predictability that simply did not exist at 1cent 2 cent.

So, I don't have the buy-ins that I'd like have to play this game, but I don't think I can beat 1 cent 2 cent.

When I did this last time, I used $70 to short stak 25NL . Now I am using slightly more to work 10NL.

We'll see if it works out, but I feel good.
-----------------------------

I don't know how many regulars and familiar names check these boards, but I would like to hear from winning players who have moved on to higher limits.

What were your experiences playing 1 cent 2 cent. Is is beatable?
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