Sunday Night NFL...

[Talking Poker]

Got the following in my email today. Yes, I know it's SPAM, but I was hoping Penguin could expand on this a bit. Is this total BS, or is there a "trend" here that a seasoned handicapper could recognize? What do you think about this game, Penguin? I wouldn't mind a big score here Sunday night.

Note: After today's earlier games, winning one unit would be a "big score."

Here's the email:

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New England AT Denver Sunday Night Football on ESPN. 8:15 pm ET 15*
Line is 6.5 and total is 38.5

We have a 15 Star play on this NFL game. We are 46-21 overall on 15* plays.. We have great situational numbers on this game, which have been unbeatable in the last five season. Numbers are listed below:
(12-0 since 1993.) (100%, +12 units. Rating = 15***)

The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (100% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).

This play should cover by at least 7 points and will never come close to the final line. We would consider this play a 15* and my normal service plays are rated 1-7*

If this pick were to lose we will give you the following options.
1. Next two huge plays free of charge
2. One full month of service plays.

You may purchase this play below using clickbank. They will accept any credit or debit card, checking account, or paypal for payment.

**Pick will be emailed to the address you have registered upon sign up. Normal service clients do not qualify for these games, as these are pay only picks.

[omahilo]

how much is the 'service'?

[GeoffM]

I got under 38.5, Prop NE FG or Safety 1st score, NE cover -6.5, and hedged with pokerownage and took money line Denver to win outright for $77. I also have Denver in my spread pools. Either way, I am coming out a winner. Ideally, NE kicks FG before half, and Denver wins the game low.

[omahilo]

ML and UNDER 38 is looking good right now...

[GeoffM]

Yup, lost $15 on NE cover and prop, but won -107 on $10 for under and $77 on Denver money line.

Also, took Denver in 3 of my against the spread pools. Not too shabby a weekend, another winning one for me (3 in a row).

[omahilo]

good job...

this was my 1st losing weekend...

till tommorrow I guess.

[Talking Poker]

I don't know - I didn't even click on the link. Was just wondering Penguin's thoughts on this type of scam... err, offer.

[GeoffM]

A voice in my head is telling to to jump on the NO money line tonight (+180).

If only it wasn't Vick playing. It is going to be noisy in the Superdome tonight, and Vick is the perfect QB to have starting this road game. There will be a lot of missed routes and broken plays tonight, but of course with Vick as the QB, he can turn a broken play into a 1st down.

Gonna be quite the emotional one.

[Penguinfan]

I just now finshed counting my losses from Sunday and saw this thread.

Yes, this is a complete scam. It is whats called back-fitting data. Similar to what thoroughbred handicapping programs do. They find rediculous things they can make into a "Trend" and then work from a particular game and go backwards to find out how long it may or may not have been true.

Keep in mind it may have nothing to do with the current teams, such as in SuperBowl 30 I remember someone have a trend that was perfect and guaranteed the play, his play was on Pittsburgh as they were a perfect 2-0 against Dallas in SuperBowls, while that was true at the time it was also 15 years prior and had nothing to do with the teams playing that night.

Typically this "trend" is a certain team is 7-0 ATS when playing at night and on natural grass against a team who's last game went over the total. Honestly, it's stuff like that.

Scam.

[omahilo]

Im interested to see if they had Denver winning last night...

I wouldnt waste money on it, just interested tho.