Saturday Night's HW Title fight

[Zybomb]

Not sure how many fight fans we have here -- but I'm throwing a double unit on this play so I figured I'd post it

NICOLAY VALUEV VS MONTE BARRETT.

First off no way does Valuev deserve to be a -550 favorite (he will win in all liklihood but jesus thats ridiculous for him)

the over under is a very interesting bet though, especially bc both the over and under are listed at -110.... 9.5 Rounds

I'm riding the over.

For as big of a man as Valuev is (7'0 320lbs) he doesn't pack that powerful of a punch. He does have 33 KO's in 44 fights which is decet, but the majority of those were against no names. He faught to decision victories over journeyman Larry Donald (a very close fight), and an awkward John Ruiz. His main weapon is his long jab, and he doesn't throw a huge amount of power shots. BEing undefeated, he naturally has also never been knocked out

As far as Barrett goes, he himself is not known as a big puncher (31 wins and 17 KO's). In additon he is known for being a tough fighter, and one who is difficult to hurt. He's been knocked out only 1 time in his career, and that was against Wladamir Klitchsko, arguably the best offensive fighter in the game currently, in which he got up for 5 knockdowns that fight to continue (in other words he has heart) before it was stopped in the 6th or 7th i forget. Outside of that Barrett has shown good form. In his 3 other losses he close a razor thin decision to heavy hitting Joe Mesi (he was knocked down one time one a punch which caught him, but he wasn't hurt at all and was up at 2 or 3), a boring decision to heavy hitting Hasim Rahman (in which he was never hurt or down) and split decision contraversial loss to Lance Whitaker (again in which he wasnt hurt). Whitaker, Mesi and Rahman are all clearly bigger punchers than Valuev (though not as big and massive as Valuev in all fairness)

This is Valuev's US debut, and being one of the four champions and the least recognizable one in the states bc of his lack of exposure, so he is likely looking to put on a show here, so he may try and go for a KO which is the downside to this bet... but Barrett isn't a push over. He's known as the gatekeeper of the heavyweight division and has sent several top prospects back down to medium level status and only promoted a few (Whitaker, Klitchsko, Mesi).

I like the over in this one...if it goes into the 10th we're good... I expect it to go to decision... (plus Im up this week and I expect to be up 3 more units once the mets win one more game)