My worst night ever...

[Boobie Lover]

I am.

[Zybomb]

not if opponent turned his hand face up u arent

[Talking Poker]

Why?

I would have bet you even money that he had a big draw, at best. I was SURE my hand was still good.

If you made me pick an exact hand to put him on, I would have said Ahxh, and I was hoping the x was 6 or lower. Even if it was AhTh, that's basically the same as his KhJh. I'm a little farther behind JhTh (worst case scenario), but even then I'm not a 2.5:1 dog.

No way does he play a set, and overpair, or something like A9 like this. Seriously, what can you put him on besides a big draw? 98s is the only hand I can think of, and the chances of that are SO slim....

[Boobie Lover]

I'm not exactly sure why a set wouldn't play the hand the way he did, or something like 9T. Maybe if you had some read on villain that he always reraises with 88+ it would seem better to me. Anyway, you're getting a little over 2:1 on your money, so you have to have like 30% equity over his range of hands here.


Board: 9d 8h 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 71.265% 71.10% 00.16% 114036 259.50 { 99-88, 44, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, KhQh, KhJh, KhTh, QhJh, QhTh, JTs, Jh9h, Th9h, 98s, 76s }
Hand 1: 28.735% 28.57% 00.16% 45825 259.50 { 77 }

The above basically says you have 28.7% equity over that range of hands, which I think it a little ambiguous. This range includes him shoving all JT and 67 suited hands. If you break it down to only JT and 67 or hearts, your equity goes down to about 22%. I don't know, maybe you should call there if you squeeze and 3bet a fuckton, but I certainly wouldn't do it with my game or knowing the villain is quite bad.

[Talking Poker]

If I told you villain likes to shove with draws and not with flopped sets (I was like 99% sure he didn't have a set here and 95% sure he didn't have an overpair), how would that change things? In other words, pull out the 99, 88, 44 and even throw in Ah6h through Ah2h and tell me what you get. I don't think he'd shove with 76 either, unless it was 7h6h.

Oh - and yeah, I was squeezing and 3betting a lot, but I don't know that villain was smart neough to adapt his game because of this. I'm pretty sure he'd shove here with this hand against anyone, even someone with 300 less in his stack who was committed.