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Old 11-26-07, 08:45 PM
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Good article. I'm surprised not a single person commented.

One thing I'd like to counter though:

Don't forget the cost of OVERBETTING by that same $1. If your opponent would call a maximum $50 value bet on the river and you bet $49, yes, that cost you $1, and yes, that adds up over time. But if you bet $51 and your opponent folds, THAT cost you $50! Whoa.... It doesn't take a genius to realize that bet sizing mistake adds up a LOT faster than the $1 mistakes you were describing.

And now one thing I'd like to add:

I definitely agree that bet sizing is extremely important... but I think it's especially important on earlier streets so you can build a pot that allows you to get paid off a HIGHER maximim than it would have been if you were underbetting (assume strong flopped hand like the flush derscribed above). Take those 50% and 60% of pot bets you mentioned. If you could have made those 67-75% bets and still gotten the same calls, you'd be setting yourself to win a MUCH larger pot by the time you value bet the river.

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  #2  
Old 11-26-07, 09:11 PM
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Great article Zy. Really well written. I agree with all of what you say there.You really need to think in more than level 1 and really work hard to master levels 2 &3. Thanks alot for this gem!
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Old 11-27-07, 12:13 AM
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Absolutely -- in the KT example, I think overbetting is generally a big mistake and can cost you a river bet from your opponent. This is why assessing your hand's strength is important in order to determine what hands you beat are going to call and how much they would call. Naturally as you said this mistake adds up A LOT quicker than the other
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Old 11-27-07, 01:05 AM
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Interesting, since I would think making a large river bet would make a thinking player more likely to call than if you bet that smallish amount. If he was a thinking player, he would assume that with such a small bet that it is unlikely for you to be bluffing considering he will be getting good odds and a large bet would be what he would assume you would bluff with. Against lesser thinkers I think betting small is better because they'll just think of pot odds and mindlessly call.

Or maybe he would assume a bigger bet would be a value bet because he is a level ahead of you. Mind games are fun.
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