Prop bets anyone?

[Wes]

I think 2:1 is way too favorable to you. Throw in some restrictions like can only play 50k hands a month then I'd be interested.

[JDMcNugent7]

i wont do it for less than 2:1, I cannot win lately the games are just tough and I keep runnin like shit. I only have 20k online too, that'll make it alot tougher to start off with.

[sjay2k]

As for original prop bet, I just realised that I was looking at my PT3 incorrectly -- my "at least 5 players" filter doesn't filter the hands in "player summary", but does in other tabs (e.g. hands, positions, winnings). The result being I am actually further behind than I thought. Apparently I stacked a couple of people when it was 4-handed, but one or two players were sitting out

I just want this prop bet to be over before I go on holiday on Wednesday, so let's do it.

I might put up a post before my final 100 hands or something, in case anyone wants to rail the finish. Could have some interesting scenarios in the final few orbits.

JD I would be willing to risk about 4k on your bet. Wes-- I think 2:1 is decent value because 12 straight months is damn difficult.

% chance of winning 10k each month vs. % chance of winning 10k for 12 months:

95% - 54%
90% - 28%
85% - 14%
80% - 7%
75% - 3%

[sjay2k]

More pain

Dealt to MyPetTurtle [Ks Qd]
MyPetTurtle raises to $0.85
DPPCpackman folds
Chips Reese folds
Syrok folds
PoyalRhish calls $0.60
*** FLOP *** [Th Jh Ah] <--- nice flip imo
PoyalRhish checks
MyPetTurtle bets $1.80
PoyalRhish has 15 seconds left to act
PoyalRhish calls $1.80
*** TURN *** [Th Jh Ah] [6c]
PoyalRhish checks
MyPetTurtle bets $5.40
DJReebok has returned
PoyalRhish has 15 seconds left to act
PoyalRhish raises to $10.80 <-- hey i'm drawing dead aren't i?
MyPetTurtle raises to $42.35, and is all in
PoyalRhish calls $15.80, and is all in
MyPetTurtle shows [Ks Qd]
PoyalRhish shows [2h Kh] <-- yes


*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MyPetTurtle [2c 2d]
PoyalRhish folds
MyPetTurtle raises to $0.50
DPPCpackman folds
Chips Reese folds
Syrok folds
DJReebok raises to $1
MyPetTurtle calls $0.50
*** FLOP *** [3d 5s 2s] <-- ooh a set
DJReebok has 15 seconds left to act
DJReebok bets $2
MyPetTurtle calls $2
*** TURN *** [3d 5s 2s] [Qs]
DJReebok has 15 seconds left to act
DJReebok bets $30.75 <-- haha sucker!
MyPetTurtle calls $30.75, and is all in
DJReebok shows [As 7s] <-- what?
MyPetTurtle shows [2c 2d]
*** RIVER *** [3d 5s 2s Qs] [4c] <-- yes of course

[JDMcNugent7]

I'm down with betting 4k with u sjay, and whoever else.

Would u rather do 10k for 12 months at 2:1, or 6 months 1:1?

Also, if I just show u guys my HEM database is that enough? as long as it says 'no filter' in the graph doesn't that guarentee i didnt do anything?

Maybe theres a way I could just export all my hands to someone to view or my DB to show I didn't do anything?

Who else wants to do this?

I think I'll only do it if I have 10k bet against me. So boobie 3k and TP 3k?

anyone else want in? I'm going to start this in 2 days at the first of the month if I get enough aciton.

[Talking Poker]

I'm out of town right now and just don't have time, but I'll post this on PTP for you when I get home if you want more action. I'm sure you can get plenty there.

Are you willing to escrow your side of the money?

Is there any way you van not start this on 10/1, or are you just dead set on that and too impatient to wait another week or so?

[JDMcNugent7]

i can wait another week i guess. and ok cool post on PTP for me or whatever, but only if u get to escrow the $.

and ya i can escrow my side to u as well.

[jillaj]

So how did this end up?

[sjay2k]

Basically I need to win $20 in the last 80 hands. Been table selecting last few hundred hands like crazy. I have an essay due Sunday, will get done soon

[MAYHEM45]

Plz post or message me when this goes down.

[sjay2k]

Giving it a go now, very good start, down about 11 with 63 hands to go