The worst beat I have ever seen (during 2004 WSOP)...

[johnbaker]

in super system it says the odds are something like 1024:1 to run perfect

[Talking Poker]

I wonder where that comes from, because I'm pretty sure my numbers are correct. Even if you didn't know the other guy's cards, I still can only get it up to 1013:1.

47 unknown cards, 45 losers, 2 winners and then 45 losers, 1 winner.

45/2 * 45/1 = 1013:1.

Right?

[Charlie Frank]

1013:1 is correct.

This is technically the worst possible bad beat in holdem.

But I have received a psychologically worse one. Same odds for the suckout, but the play was so bad, it was scary. I had just started playing online, and after this hand, I didn't play again for almost a year - as I was sure it was rigged.

HE PL $50 buyin. Blinds 0.50/1. I had built up to $140 or so when I get AA on the button. I raised the pot to $7 after early position ($130) called. Both blinds fold. Early position calls.

Flop is AK2 rainbow. Early position checks. I bet the pot $16.50. Early position thinks for awhile and then calls.

Turn is 2. I have the nut full. Only hand that can beat me is 22. Early position checks. I hope and pray he has a 2. I bet the pot $49.50. He calls immediately.

River is 2. He bets all-in with his remaining $57 or so. I think for 20 sec then call. He has 82o.

I lose a $250 pot to 82o.

The only comforting thing at the time was that I will never experience a mathematically worse bad beat in pot limit HE.

CF

[johnbaker]

yea it was probably 1:1013, i just havent read it in a while