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Old 11-28-05, 12:48 PM
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Tell me again why you think the best hand preflop should always win? Cause I just don't get it. I think that would make poker really, really boring.

And you said yourself, at best, he was a coinflip. He was getting almost 2.5:1 to call, which are pretty nice odds if you think you are a coinflip. Just for kicks, let's say he put you on:

Two overcards: 60% chance
Bigger pair: 20% chance
Smaller pair: 20% chance

If that's the case, the bigger and smaller pairs was each other out, and he's getting better than 2:1 on an even money call. It's a no brainer.

Even if he put you on:

Two overcards: 50% chance
Bigger pair: 40% chance
Smaller pair: 10% chance

I don't hate the call. Without breaking it down into exact numbers, but just looking at it like I quickly would at the poker table, this tells me he's a coinflip half the time, a 4:1 dog 40% of the time, and a 4:1 favorite 10% of the time. Throw that all together and he's about .5*.5 + .4*.2 + .1*.8 = .4ish, or about 3:2 (1.5:1). With the pot laying him 2800:1200 = 2.3:1, the call is correct.
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