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#1
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Hmmm, the check/raise stats are interesting.
Here's my brief analysis. I think, when some player are looking at stats, they look individually too much. All the stats correlate and give a pattern of your playing style. I play less hands, but raise the same amount as you. So, that makes me appear more aggressive preflop, because a greater % of my plays are raises. I'm also stealing more, so think of what image I'm creating. This type of thing gets me into more battles on the flop, with people playing back at me because of my agg image. Therefore, I think my turn check/raise #s are down because I've already shown so much agg preflop and on the flop, that if I'm betting the turn, people are usually calling me down. My flop check raises usually come when I'm in early position with a decent hand multiway. I'll check, hoping to get a loose bet out of a loose player in LP. Then I check raise to isolate and protect my hand. I also check/raise in blind battles as well, usually with less than top pair. Overall, I think we just have different styles. I'm making money with steals and being very aggressive early and just playing like a jackhammer. You get in with a lot of hands early and make up for it with more sophisticated post flop play. We both know that your win comes postflop and you're a better player than I am. What is your exact Went to Showdown stat?
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Get well soon, MCA! |
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#2
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Another thing to look at when you have time. No hurry.
In the "more detail" section there's a "steal success" stat area. Let me interpret my stats and tell me if I'm fudamentally wrong in my analysis please. I attempt to steal 35% fo the time. Steal success #s are as follows: No flop% 26 (this means I steal without seeing a flop) Fold% (I'm not sure what this means. Is this % I fold, or the % they fold?) Anyway it's 23% Now I win w/o seeing showdown 50% of the time here. Which seems really high. I go to showdown in steal situations 26% of the time. I win $ at showdown 52% of the time. So, If I win 52% of the time at showdown and 50% of the time w/o seeing a showdown . What the fuck does this mean? I'm confused. I guess I need to know the true definitions of these stats.
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Get well soon, MCA! |
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#3
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Look it up. I'm sure you can find the definitions in the help files somewhere... I think I see what you are misunderstanding though. I'm guessing that 52% is of the time you REACH a showdown, which obviously excludes the 50% of the time you don't even get to the showdown. In other words, it's really 26% of the total time that you end up going to showdown and winning.
My numbers: 30% attempt. No flop 21%. Fold 22%. W w/o SD 45%. Go to SD 32%. Win at SD 54%. |
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#4
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This thread is a diamond in the rough.
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#5
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I agree.
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#6
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Got some answers on what these stats mean. Straight from PT forum:
Steal Success * No Flop % - percentage of times your steal attempts were not called. * Fold % - percentage of times, when you attempting a steal that you folded before showdown. * Ww/oSD% - percentage of times, when attempting a steal, that you won the hand without a showdown. * WSD% - percentage of times you went to showdown when attempting to steal. * W$SD% - percentage of times you won money when going to showdown when attempting to steal. BTW, blind steal is defined by the program as ANY raise from the CO or Button where no one has entered the pot. So, I have attempted 706 steals. My fold% is 23%. I lost rougly 162 hands w/o showing down. I went to showdown 26.6% of the time. That's 188 times. I won 52.66% of those. That's 99 wins, 89 losses showing down. Now the good part is I win 50.3% w/o a showdown. So, in summation: I'm winning 50.3% w/o a showdown + 14% (99 wins at showdown / 706 total attempts) = approx. 65% winrate when making a steal. Looks like blind steals are a pretty big part of my recent success.
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Get well soon, MCA! Last edited by PShabi; 12-20-05 at 01:10 AM. |
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#7
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Now, I guess you look at my attempt to steal #. 35%.
I steal 35% of the time and win 65% of those pots. Now as I start to steal more, I'll probably see that 65% # go down. However, with more attempts the the actual money won could stay the same. At what steal rate would it become unprofittable? If you stole 38% of the time and won 64% of those pots, you'd obviously be making more $$$. Pretty interesting. Bed time.
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Get well soon, MCA! |
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#8
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Using your same formulas, it looks like my number is 63% - not significantly different from yours, really.
The other thing to consider though, is that in most of those hands, you are winning small pots (before the showdown - probably quite a few preflop), where probably ALL of the losses come after the flop at the very least. In other words, yes, you are winning 2/3 of these pots, but if the pots you are winning are only 2/3 as big as the ones you are losing, all you are doing is breaking even. See what I'm getting at? I think there is even more to it than you have investigated so far - namely converting this into BB/100 for steal attempts, which I'm sure PT can do somehow. |
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#9
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See bold.
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