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#1
02-06-06, 01:09 PM
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Hmm...sorry. Maybe I just don't understand what the meaning of favorites really is. See what if ....the other guy had AJ too? Wouldn't that make him a fav too? Meaning your percentages wouldn't be 99.9 % anymore, or would it? And grant it you were fav on flop, but on turn things changed. J on turn....what if the other guy had JJ? Quads...hmmm? Who would be the fav then? Or can that even be determined that way? I know I must sound foolish but just asking questions so I can better understand it. Not trying to be dumb on purpose. 
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To dance is to be out of yourself. Larger, more beautiful, more powerful. ~Agnes De Mille |
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#2
02-06-06, 01:39 PM
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Well, with two Jacks on the board and one in my hand, I find it very unlikely he would be holding 2 Jacks. There are only supposed to be 4 in the deck, so if that's what he had, Party would be getting a very nasty email from me.
And yes, if he was holding exactly AJ as well, then we would be in a guaranteed chop situation. But he wasn't. He was holding KhQh, which I was a 99.9% (literally) favorite over. Only if he was holding a hand like AK or AQ could he have a legitimate 3 outs on me (still a huge underdog), and because he lead at the AAJ flop, I think it's pretty unlikely he had either of those hands. If he was holding literally ANY other hand though, he was going to need TWO cards to beat me (like if he was holding QQ he would need to catch both remaining Queens to win), so I knew I was a massive favorite. The point is, with my hand and the flop AND on the turn, I was holding the nuts. There were no two cards he could be holding better than mine, which means I WANT him to put money in the pot, NOT to fold. Make sense? |
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#3
02-06-06, 02:02 PM
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lol OOP's on the J part! Forgot you were holding the other Jack. *me...dum dum after all* And yeah I get the reasoning for you not betting. Same thing as when JD got the quads and checked. Fool the other into thinking you don't have the nuts. This way you jack up the pot. Gotcha! Ok thanks for explaining it to me...so in that case.... ....yuck worse ever bad beat man!.... *hands TP the "Worse Bad Beat Trophy"! 
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To dance is to be out of yourself. Larger, more beautiful, more powerful. ~Agnes De Mille Last edited by rookette22; 02-06-06 at 02:09 PM. |
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#5
02-06-06, 02:49 PM
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I just lost KK to QQ, does that count?
----------- Sorry bro, that sucks. But, what are you gonna do? You played it the only way to play it and the cards just didn't work out. Nothing really to do but shrug and keep playing. Can't really complain that much cause anybody would take the 99.9% nuts in every hand they played if they had to deal with a beat like that once every 1000 times. Look at it this way, the odds of that ever happening to you again are rrrreeeeaalllllyyyy small. |
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#6
02-06-06, 03:14 PM
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Absolutely not. Not even close.
 Well, not everyone. Scroll up a bit. Actually, tis wasn't the first time I've lost to perfect perfect... And I'm sure it won't be the last. |
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