Joe Public VS The Sportsbooks

omahilo · #1 09-11-06, 10:54 AM

I called that Seattle game...

I said in another thread when everyone jumped on that thing that DET would play alot better than everyone thought. I wonder if this way actually works... I wouldnt consider betting all the games but I would consider betting the games where the public is betting the underdog (JAX and CIN). Im not really too sure where you got these stats at.

I saw on the RX forum (a sports betting forum) that SEA was 91% to DET 9%,the public took that one in the ass.

We'll see what week 2 holds, a nice week if anyone bets all the games like this.

Talking Poker · #2 09-21-06, 02:42 AM

Penguin - Did you bother to see how this worked out for Week 2? Is it too late now?

I think this is a very interesting theory you have...

Penguinfan · #3 09-21-06, 08:05 AM

I spent the entire weekend with my head in my ass and didn't follow up on this.

I have handicapping friends who probably did and will find out.

I will make sure to get this weekends public numbers up early Sunday morning for everyone to follow/fade along.

Taking the kids for tonight and tomorrow but will start the weekend NCAA and NFL of Friday afternoon when we get back.

jillaj · #4 09-21-06, 03:43 PM

I just went through the yahoo picks for week 2 and betting the opposite of the fan picks vs the spread would come out to 11 losses vs 5 wins. So if I did it correct this would have been a beat down for anyone going with this method versus the results from week 1. Last weeks scores were very lopsided wich is a big factor. I look forward to week 3 to see if it is more like week 1 or a continuation of week 2.

jillaj · #5 09-28-06, 12:57 PM

For week 3 picking against the public would have left you with a mark of 7 wins 5 losses and 2 pushes. This week is much better than last weeks results but not close enough to week 1 either.

Penguinfan · #6 09-28-06, 03:56 PM

Where are you getting this info, are you sure it's ATS and not straight up?

I would like to know where you are getting the number in any event, thanks.

jillaj · #7 09-28-06, 04:35 PM

I am getting the numbers from yahoo's pro football pickem. Here is the link I am getting it from.

My numbers could be off. I have been taking the teams that the minority of people picked and took that ATS. I have been known to fuck up even the simplest of tasks before though.