NFL Week 3

[Zybomb]

Not that Im as big of an expert as Penguin is...

but in general beware of Road favorites. Minnisota has looked very good this year (granted not anywhere as good as the bears), but I ask you guys to remember the Bear/Steeler game last year where the Bears were +6 on the road and no one could understand it (Pitt had just finished getting beaten by Indy and was a .500 team I believe vs the best D in the league). You figure that if you could buy 1.5 points and move this spread to over a TD (+7.5) you couldn't lose.... Penguin warned to stay away from the game.... and it ended with a 10 pt Steeler victory (it may have been 14 i dont recall)

On the flip side, Rex Grossman has looked great this year, although it's unknown if that will continue , and the D has looked terriffic as well.

I like the Miami game a lot more personally, particularly at home vs a bad team and with a tight division (2-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1) where a win would do big things.... but I'd want that spread under 10

[GeoffM]

Zy, Miami is 0-2.

[eejit101]

Chigago at -3, come on, that has to be a big bet game, i might even buy the half point just incase, dunno if thats worth it.

advice?

[Defendant]

How bout Panthers Buccs UNDER 34.5 ? Those teams are seriously bad at putting up any offense this year.
Jags Colts UNDER 44 could be a good bet too...great D on jacksonville (best corner in the league should help slow down peyton) and not much offense for the jags either.

[GeoffM]

I got Indy under 44.5 as well.

[Aequitas58]

So far, for this Sunday, I have:

PHL -6.5 -110 v. SF
CHI -4.5 -115 v. MIN

I'm also leaning towards CIN +2.0 -110.

[GeoffM]

Agreed, I like Cincy too Lou.

[eejit101]

i have

Bears at -3
Cin at +2
and the over under of 44 in the JAX game (i took under obv.)

[Zybomb]

I dunno where you're getting your lines from but Chi -4.5 is terrible, especially at an add vig of -115. My guy has it -3 at a -120 vig, and most books have it at -3. The Eagle line should be 5.5 or 6 (this is what I have) at the highest not 6.5... this isnt that big of a difference, but the Bear one could be

[Aequitas58]

SportsInterAction.com

This is the site that PokerOwnage was spamming. I had a feeling the lines were off, I just didn't look into how bad. Maybe it's time for a withdrawal.