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  #1  
Old 10-24-06, 05:59 PM
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wow even i might have to bet STL this week.
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  #2  
Old 10-24-06, 06:16 PM
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STL +9? Can that even be right? Yup... I just bet the Rams right now.

I took the Giants last night (forgot about that bet, actually - I placed it days ago), and I like their team, but they are giving up 9.5 points to Tampa Bay? 9.5? I dunno.... Meanwhile, Chicago is giving up 16.5 to San Francisco? Sure, San Fran is bad and Chicago has been great (well, other than the Arizona game), but this isn't college football. that is a LOT of points.

I'm not betting either of those games (yet), but I think the lines are interesting.

I like the Eagles -6 vs Jax, despite their knock of not covering (let alone winning) lately. I also like Arizona +3.5 in Green Bay.

Interesting week.
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  #3  
Old 10-24-06, 06:48 PM
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Think about how public perception is gonna play into a couple of those lines. The betting public is pissed at the Bears and most of them are saying no way in hell I lay that many points on the Bears again.

Take the Bears, it's really that easy.

Indy/Denver, well again, Joe Public can't believe he only has to lay -2.5 on the Colts against ANYBODY, let alone the Broncos.

Denver tends to rise to the occasion when playing a team that is precieved better than them, covering 8 of the last 10 times playing a team with a winning record.

Denver is TOUGH at home, very tough, other than the AFC title game loss to the Steelers they are 17-2 in home games past three years. Denver is not a place to lay points on the road team.

Keep in mind I am not a handicapper, I just play one on a poker web-site.
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Old 10-24-06, 07:22 PM
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Interesting article regarding sports betting from the author of freakonomics:

  #5  
Old 10-24-06, 11:48 PM
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I already covered my opinion on the DEN/INDY game and I absolutely agree with Penguin.
  #6  
Old 10-25-06, 09:03 AM
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If Indy scores 17 points, they win outright. No way Denver scores 17 points, or at least not 20. I'm betting the Colts will score 17. Manning finally hit his stride last week and will just keep on moving. I just wonder if Bailey will be covering Wayne or Harrison.
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Old 10-24-06, 11:46 PM
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The Colts are GETTING points here, Denver is the favorite... but several people seem to think of this as a dangerous bet... so I may change this to a no play
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Last edited by Zybomb; 10-24-06 at 11:49 PM.
  #8  
Old 10-25-06, 12:06 PM
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That shows you how much I don't even look at the lines anymore, embarassing.
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Old 10-25-06, 01:21 PM
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I still think Denver can win this game...

The colts havent looked THAT great... They barely beat the jets in a game that shouldnt of been close and they were losing to the TITANS for most of that game till they pulled it out by 1 pt in the 4th quarter.

Dont forget they were also losing to the Redskins at halftime of the game Sunday, the final score is just decieving.
  #10  
Old 10-29-06, 11:32 AM
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I see the Eagles line has moved from -6 to -8, making me go from liking it to not touching it.

I just made a number of bets on today's games, after doing ZERO research. I took:
Bucs +9 at Giants
Bears -16 vs. San Fran (this bet was for Penguin - I wouldn't have touched it)
Cardinals +4 at GB
Saints -2 vs. Ravens
Rams +9.5 at Chargers
Steelers -9.5 at Oakland

That, my friend, is how we novices do it - glance at the lines and throw some money around. But as poorly as my record has been this year following the "pros" picks, I thought I'd give this a whirl.

Oh, and I bet 2 units on the Saints and Rams, so if you are looking for a couple of locks, fade those for sure...
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