NFL Week 8

[Talking Poker]

I think I should retire from this whole sports betting thing and stick to poker. Let's review, shall we???

Bucs +9 at Giants
Loser

Bears -16 vs. San Fran (this bet was for Penguin - I wouldn't have touched it)
Winner

Cardinals +4 at GB
Loser

Saints -2 vs. Ravens
Loser

Rams +9.5 at Chargers
Loser

Steelers -9.5 at Oakland
Loser

That right there is some impressive shit, my friends. The game I won was the one I liked the least! Down 6 units on the day - gotta love that!

[Penguinfan]

OK, but there is something very valuable to be learned here. Yea, -6 units in a day is a bloodletting, trust me I know this, however, in an earlier post in this thread you said you made those picks with ZERO handincapping at all, just being Joe Public and looking at the board.

This should easily dismiss the idea that Vegas wants equal action on both sides of a game to ensure a profit, they let you look at the board and sway you to one side with these numbers, honestly.

I'm not saying to go so far as to fade yourself, but look at the board and find the play that looks the easiest, one that looks like Vegas is giving away money and no matter how difficult it is try to handicap the game looking for a reason to go with the other side. You may never find that reason and in fact it may just be an easy play for you for some reason, but give the other side a solid look first.

[omahilo]

I agree with this... I really should of did this with the SD/STL game. I usually do but for some reason I just jumped on STL without really thinking about it and it costed me.

[Talking Poker]

That's excellent advice.

[jillaj]

NFL has always been the most difficult for me to win at. I normally only bet the first 5 or 6 weeks and then whatever it is that makes me like a game can never find a "sure" thing. I find college fb to be easier at the beggining of the year as well, but there are still a few games that I can pick out. I guess that could be due to the amount of games that college offers compared to the NFL.